2
Sanditon
4yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 52
Wolverhampton · Cavani Style & Speed Handicap (Div 2) · 7f 36y
#3
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength40%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Musselburgh | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Musselburgh | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Catterick | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/03/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 21/04/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 29% | -0.24 |
| 21/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 02/06/2026 | 1st | 85/40 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 22/06/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 30/06/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 14/07/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 56% | -0.02 |
| 31/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 18/09/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 43% | -0.41 |