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Tilsworth Max

6yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 50

Wolverhampton · Cavani Style & Speed Handicap (Div 2) · 7f 36y

#7

Rank

Odds

7/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Finally off the mark in classified event over this trip at Lingfield in January. Another good run on the polytrack there when close second of 10 this month. Claims if he can reproduce that form back on tapeta.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength45%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Lingfield 10/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 44 · 7f1y Std 135 · beat its mark10/01/2026 · OR 44 par10/016OR 446 @ Lingfield 29/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 50 · 7f1y Std 135 · beat its mark29/01/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Lingfield 10/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 50 · 1m1y Std 135 · beat its mark10/02/2026 · OR 50 par10/026OR 506 @ Lingfield 28/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 50 · 7f1y Std 135 · beat its mark28/02/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Lingfield 25/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 50 · 7f1y Std 131 · beat its mark25/03/2026 · OR 50 par25/036OR 506 @ Nottingham 18/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 50 · 1m75y Goo 130 · beat its mark18/04/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Doncaster 16/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR 49 · 7f6y GS 129 · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 49 par16/056OR 496 @ Leicester 08/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 48 · 7f Goo 135 · beat its mark08/06/2026 · OR 48 par6 @ Lingfield 10/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 48 · 7f1y Std 124 · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 48 par10/096OR 48projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Lingfield62nd2nd0
2026-06-08Leicester67th7th0
2026-05-16Doncaster66th6th0
2026-04-18Nottingham65th5th0
2026-03-25Lingfield63rd3rd0
2026-02-28Lingfield63rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0128/0216/0510/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/01/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
29/01/20263rd15/261%75%+0.14
10/02/20265th7/282%43%-0.39
28/02/20263rd5/174%60%-0.14
25/03/20263rd13/266%75%+0.09
18/04/20265th25/10%56%+0.56
16/05/20266th33/10%67%+0.67
08/06/20267th10/147%50%+0.03
10/09/20262nd25/10%89%+0.89