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8

Late Claim

5yo Mare · 9-3 · OR 46

Wolverhampton · Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap · 1m 5f 219y

#7

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sole success came on handicap bow at Lingfield last December. Looked back in form when third switched to classified company at Ayr in June but little impact back in handicaps since.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Southwell 21/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 49 · 1m4f14y Std 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/03/2026 · OR 49 par21/035OR 496 @ Southwell 05/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 49 · 1m4f14y Std 124 · beat its mark05/04/2026 · OR 49 par6 @ Wolverhampton 10/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 49 · 1m4f51y Std 129 · beat its mark10/04/2026 · OR 49 par10/046OR 496 @ Wolverhampton 21/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 48 · 1m4f51y Std 124 · beat its mark21/04/2026 · OR 48 par6 @ Windsor 08/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 47 · 1m3f99y Goo 135 · beat its mark08/06/2026 · OR 47 par8/066OR 476 @ Ayr 19/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 47 · 1m5f26y Sft 135 · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 47 par6 @ Wolverhampton 14/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 47 · 1m4f51y Std 132 · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 47 par14/076OR 476 @ Southwell 23/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 47 · 1m4f14y Std 127 · beat its mark23/07/2026 · OR 47 par6 @ Wolverhampton 21/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 46 · 1m4f51y Std 126 · beat its mark21/09/2026 · OR 46 par21/096OR 46projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21Wolverhampton66th6th0
2026-07-23Southwell68th8th0
2026-07-14Wolverhampton67th7th0
2026-06-19Ayr64th4th0
2026-06-08Windsor64th4th0
2026-04-21Wolverhampton66th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0321/0414/0721/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength53%

Delivery trend +5.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/03/20266th11/142%17%-0.25
05/04/202610th14/126%0%-0.26
10/04/20268th25/10%30%+0.30
21/04/20266th33/10%17%+0.17
08/06/20264th14/126%75%+0.49
19/06/20264th13/266%63%-0.03
14/07/20267th33/10%33%+0.33
23/07/20268th16/116%13%-0.03
21/09/20266th50/10%38%+0.38