Long Reign
3yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 49
Wolverhampton · Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap · 1m 5f 219y
#9
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.6 /10 (raw 12.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Pontefract | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-09 | Salisbury | 3 | 7th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-05-11 | Windsor | 4 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-04-18 | Newbury | 4 | 25th | 23th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/2026 | 25th | 125/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/05/2026 | 9th | 200/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 09/06/2026 | 7th | 250/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 24/09/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |