3

Wonderful Wendy

4yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 49

Wolverhampton · Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap · 1m 5f 219y

#6

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Improved second on handicap debut at Chepstow (1½m) in June. Hasn't reproduced that level in 2 subsequent outings but she has fewer convictions than most at this level.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength71%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Southwell 01/08/2025 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f23y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS1/0854 @ Bath 05/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f37y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS5/0443 @ Wolverhampton 27/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m4f51y Std 142 · HIGHER CLASS27/0436 @ Chepstow 06/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 49 · 1m4f Sft 124 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 49 par6/066OR 496 @ Chepstow 29/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 51 · 1m4f Goo 134 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 51 par29/086OR 516 @ Wolverhampton 18/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 50 · 1m4f51y Std 125 · beat its mark18/09/2026 · OR 50 par18/096OR 50projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Wolverhampton64th4th0
2026-08-29Chepstow65th5th0
2026-06-06Chepstow62nd2nd0
2026-04-27Wolverhampton36th2nd+3
2026-04-05Bath45th3rd+2
2025-08-01Southwell511th10th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/085/0427/046/0629/0818/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength56%

Delivery trend -10.3% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/08/202511th125/10%17%+0.17
05/04/20265th80/10%43%+0.43
27/04/20266th200/10%29%+0.29
06/06/20262nd13/266%88%+0.22
29/08/20265th7/282%43%-0.39
18/09/20264th17/255%50%-0.05