4

Ahead Of Fashion

3yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 57

Wolverhampton · Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap · 1m 142y

#9

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Long-standing maiden who was well held in 1m Kempton handicap a fortnight ago. A first-time tongue tie needs to have a positive effect.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength70%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Windsor 01/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 74 · 6f12y GS 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/09/2025 · OR 74 par1/094OR 745 @ Kempton 01/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 70 · 7f Sta 131 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/04/2026 · OR 70 par4 @ Wolverhampton 17/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 67 · 7f36y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/04/2026 · OR 67 par17/044OR 675 @ Wolverhampton 08/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 67 · 7f36y Std 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/05/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Goodwood 05/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 66 · 7f Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 66 par5/065OR 665 @ Salisbury 14/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 64 · 6f213y Gd 136 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/06/2026 · OR 64 par6 @ Southwell 16/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 62 · 6f16y Std 134 · beat its mark16/08/2026 · OR 62 par16/086OR 626 @ Lingfield 01/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 60 · 1m1y Std 130 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 60 par5 @ Kempton 14/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 58 · 1m Sta 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/09/2026 · OR 58 par14/095OR 58projClass-projected finish: 11th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Kempton58th7th+1
2026-09-01Lingfield64th4th0
2026-08-16Southwell66th6th0
2026-06-14Salisbury55th4th+1
2026-06-05Goodwood54th3rd+1
2026-05-08Wolverhampton52nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/098/0516/0814/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 3-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength30%

Delivery trend +0.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/09/20257th16/116%14%-0.02
01/04/20267th18/15%0%-0.05
17/04/20267th100/10%25%+0.25
08/05/20262nd8/158%67%+0.09
05/06/20264th14/126%63%+0.36
14/06/20265th9/488%0%-0.88
16/08/20266th33/10%62%+0.62
01/09/20264th9/153%25%-0.28
14/09/20268th20/10%22%+0.22