1
Arouse
3yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 60
Wolverhampton · Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap · 1m 142y
#5
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength71%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Lingfield | 4 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-10-16 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-09-17 | Yarmouth | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength38%
Delivery trend +18.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 16/10/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 10/09/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |