Coxy's Star
3yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 58
Wolverhampton · Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap · 1m 142y
#8
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 7.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Kempton | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Lingfield | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Kempton | 5 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Southwell | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-06 | Kempton | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-07-26 | Windsor | 5 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/2025 | 12th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 06/05/2026 | 5th | 100/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 05/07/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 10/08/2026 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 25/08/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 09/09/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.12 |