9
Crown The Future
3yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 50
Wolverhampton · Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap · 1m 142y
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#3
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Lingfield | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-03-16 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Chelmsford City | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.2% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/11/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 02/12/2025 | 5th | 8/15 | 97% | 43% | -0.54 |
| 12/01/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 57% | -0.36 |
| 12/02/2026 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 50% | -0.43 |
| 16/03/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 06/07/2026 | 13th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 21/07/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 18/08/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 56% | -0.21 |
| 07/09/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 91% | +0.44 |