
Kaiko
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 45
Wolverhampton · Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap · 1m 142y
#13
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 8.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Chepstow | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Ffos Las | 6 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Bath | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-22 | Windsor | 5 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-05-13 | Bath | 4 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/2026 | 5th | 100/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 22/06/2026 | 9th | 150/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 31/07/2026 | 6th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/08/2026 | 11th | 125/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 31/08/2026 | 10th | 250/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |