13

Kaiko

3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 45

Wolverhampton · Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap · 1m 142y

#13

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★ Timeform

Commentary

Has finished well held on all 5 turf starts, including a couple of low-grade handicaps.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength44%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 8.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Bath 13/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 1m Fm 128 · HIGHER CLASS13/0545 @ Windsor 22/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 1m31y GF 121 · HIGHER CLASS22/0655 @ Bath 31/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 5f160y Fm 128 · HIGHER CLASS31/0756 @ Ffos Las 21/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 45 · 7f80y Gd 126 · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 45 par21/086OR 456 @ Chepstow 31/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 45 · 7f16y Goo 121 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 45 par31/086OR 45projClass-projected finish: 13th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Chepstow610th10th0
2026-08-21Ffos Las611th11th0
2026-07-31Bath56th5th+1
2026-06-22Windsor59th8th+1
2026-05-13Bath45th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0522/0631/0721/0831/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 11-13 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength5%

Delivery trend -1.1% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/05/20265th100/10%20%+0.20
22/06/20269th150/10%0%0.00
31/07/20266th100/10%0%0.00
21/08/202611th125/10%9%+0.09
31/08/202610th250/10%10%+0.10