2
Roserunner
3yo Colt · 9-8 · OR 59
Wolverhampton · Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap · 1m 142y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
51%
Place Prob
38%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Windsor | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Kempton | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Yarmouth | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-28 | Kempton | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-06 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-17 | Lingfield | 5 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength95%
Delivery trend +5.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/12/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 17/12/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 06/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |
| 28/01/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 30/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 20/05/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 22/06/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 78% | +0.73 |