7

Sonbelievable

3yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 54

Wolverhampton · Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap · 1m 142y

#6

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well held in 3 qualifying runs at up to 1m over the summer. Handicaps provide him with a more realistic chance but would need to see market support to consider.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength63%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Windsor 08/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m31y Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS8/0645 @ Wolverhampton 28/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 7f36y Std 131 · HIGHER CLASS28/0654 @ Wolverhampton 17/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 7f36y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS17/074projClass-projected finish: 8th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-17Wolverhampton48th6th+2
2026-06-28Wolverhampton59th8th+1
2026-06-08Windsor47th5th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0628/0617/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -13.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/06/20267th20/10%40%+0.40
28/06/20269th100/10%27%+0.27
17/07/20268th300/10%13%+0.13