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10

Wild Rosie

3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 48

Wolverhampton · Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap · 1m 142y

#10

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ran one of this season's better races when fourth of 10 in handicap at Lingfield (1¼m, all-weather) 18 days ago. Has a hood and cheekpieces combined for the first time here. Claims if able to back up that Lingfield run.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength57%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.9)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Salisbury 14/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 1m Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS14/0824 @ Ascot 05/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 7f213y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Wolverhampton 28/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m142y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS28/1055 @ Yarmouth 21/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 64 · 6f3y GF 129 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/04/2026 · OR 64 par5 @ Newmarket 15/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 60 · 1m Gd 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 60 par15/055OR 606 @ Yarmouth 10/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 58 · 7f3y Sft 133 · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Lingfield 06/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 54 · 1m1y Std 135 · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 54 par6/076OR 546 @ Windsor 29/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 51 · 1m3f99y Sft 126 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 51 par6 @ Lingfield 10/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 49 · 1m2f Std 124 · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 49 par10/096OR 49projClass-projected finish: 6th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Lingfield64th4th0
2026-08-29Windsor68th8th0
2026-07-06Lingfield67th7th0
2026-06-10Yarmouth611th11th0
2026-05-15Newmarket56th5th+1
2026-04-21Yarmouth57th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0821/046/0710/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/08/20254th18/15%40%+0.35
05/09/20258th14/126%30%+0.04
28/10/20257th50/10%14%+0.14
21/04/20267th22/10%0%0.00
15/05/20266th50/10%58%+0.58
10/06/202611th9/153%23%-0.30
06/07/20267th14/126%33%+0.07
29/08/20268th28/10%42%+0.42
10/09/20264th22/10%67%+0.67