Adalida
3yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 72
Wolverhampton · Cavani Winning Form Handicap · 5f 21y
#3
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Sandown | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Newmarket | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-25 | Lingfield | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-07-15 | Yarmouth | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Windsor | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | York | 4 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 70% | -0.04 |
| 04/05/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 18/05/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 12/06/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 15/07/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 25/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 21/08/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 11/09/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |