2
Comic Strip
3yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 75
Wolverhampton · Cavani Winning Form Handicap · 5f 21y
#8
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength48%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Thirsk | 4 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-06-29 | Ffos Las | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Windsor | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-27 | Bath | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Southwell | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Newcastle | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 7-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 24/10/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 01/12/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 20/12/2025 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 67% | -0.26 |
| 11/04/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 27/04/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 23/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 69% | +0.32 |
| 29/06/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 01/08/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |