8
Enter Sandman
3yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 67
Wolverhampton · Cavani Winning Form Handicap · 5f 21y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Windsor | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-09-07 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Lingfield | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Leicester | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength76%
Delivery trend +4.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/03/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 82% | -0.08 |
| 20/04/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 28/04/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 08/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 08/06/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |
| 16/06/2026 | 10th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 15/08/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 07/09/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 14/09/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |