7
Loleeta
3yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 71
Wolverhampton · Cavani Winning Form Handicap · 5f 21y
#7
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Brighton | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Newmarket | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Yarmouth | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Southwell | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Lingfield | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 57% | -0.24 |
| 12/08/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 30/08/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 12/02/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 13/03/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 09/04/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 13/05/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 08/08/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 01/09/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |