Back At One
3yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 61
Wolverhampton · Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Handicap · 1m 1f 104y
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Southwell | 6 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Newcastle | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-09 | Salisbury | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-27 | Kempton | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 09/06/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 27/07/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |