2
Celtic Chariot
3yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 69
Wolverhampton · Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Handicap · 1m 1f 104y
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Doncaster | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Doncaster | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Yarmouth | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Doncaster | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-15 | Wetherby | 6 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-02 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 10-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -11.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 15/05/2026 | 6th | 150/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 02/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 15/06/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 75% | +0.70 |
| 09/07/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 23/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 15/08/2026 | 6th | 15/8 | 90% | 17% | -0.73 |
| 11/09/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |