6
The Anthony Gover
3yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 65
Wolverhampton · Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Handicap · 1m 1f 104y
#1
Rank
Odds
15/8
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
99%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength30%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-09-07 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-27 | Ffos Las | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-11 | Nottingham | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-09 | Doncaster | 6 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Musselburgh | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 04/05/2026 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 18/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.08 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 09/07/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 17% | -0.39 |
| 11/08/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 27/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |
| 07/09/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 21/09/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |