3
Variety Act
3yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 69
Wolverhampton · Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Handicap · 1m 1f 104y
#5
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength39%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Kempton | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-01-15 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-26 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 11-12 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -19.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 92% | +0.39 |
| 15/01/2026 | 3rd | 4/5 | 96% | 67% | -0.29 |
| 18/02/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 73% | +0.07 |
| 01/09/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |