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9

Vega Storm

3yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 62

Wolverhampton · Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Handicap · 1m 1f 104y

#7

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has reached the frame 3 times in handicaps at up to 1m and the way he plugged on for fourth at Southwell last time suggests this slightly longer trip is worth a go.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newcastle 19/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 6f Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS19/0345 @ Ripon 16/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 6f GS 1315 @ Catterick 11/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 7f6y Gd 13311/0554 @ Doncaster 20/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 67 · 7f6y GF 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Catterick 08/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 65 · 7f6y GF 128 · beat its mark08/07/2026 · OR 65 par8/075OR 656 @ Catterick 22/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 64 · 7f6y GF 132 · below its mark22/07/2026 · OR 64 par5 @ Ayr 10/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 63 · 1m Goo 129 · beat its mark10/08/2026 · OR 63 par10/085OR 635 @ Southwell 31/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 63 · 1m13y Std 128 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 63 par31/085OR 63projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Southwell54th4th0
2026-08-10Ayr53rd3rd0
2026-07-22Catterick66th7th−1
2026-07-08Catterick54th4th0
2026-06-20Doncaster410th9th+1
2026-05-11Catterick55th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0320/0610/0831/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength54%

Delivery trend -6.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/03/20263rd14/126%80%+0.54
16/04/20263rd10/382%67%-0.16
11/05/20265th11/142%60%+0.18
20/06/202610th14/126%25%-0.01
08/07/20264th9/153%63%+0.10
22/07/20266th5/174%29%-0.45
10/08/20263rd11/271%78%+0.07
31/08/20264th11/486%67%-0.19