IvyArcIvyArc
4

Ziggy's Avenger

3yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 68

Wolverhampton · Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Handicap · 1m 1f 104y

#3

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Got off the mark at Ripon (1m) in June. Not discredited on next 2 outings and possibly simply failed to cope with heavy ground at Haydock last time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength30%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Nottingham 29/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m75y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS29/1044 @ Southwell 15/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m13y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Yarmouth 30/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m3y GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS30/0446 @ Kempton 20/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 65 · 1m Sta 135 · beat its mark20/05/2026 · OR 65 par6 @ Ripon 03/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 65 · 1m Gd 135 · beat its mark03/06/2026 · OR 65 par3/066OR 655 @ Windsor 15/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 69 · 1m31y Goo 134 · beat its mark15/06/2026 · OR 69 par5 @ Southwell 27/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 69 · 1m3f23y Std 134 · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 69 par27/075OR 695 @ Haydock 04/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 69 · 1m3f140y Hvy 128 · beat its mark04/09/2026 · OR 69 par4/095OR 69projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Haydock59th9th0
2026-07-27Southwell54th4th0
2026-06-15Windsor55th5th0
2026-06-03Ripon61st2nd−1
2026-05-20Kempton63rd4th−1
2026-04-30Yarmouth48th7th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/1020/0527/074/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -5.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/10/20258th28/10%13%+0.13
15/04/202610th100/10%18%+0.18
30/04/20268th200/10%13%+0.13
20/05/20263rd4/179%83%+0.04
03/06/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
15/06/20265th11/893%50%-0.43
27/07/20264th5/174%77%+0.03
04/09/20269th9/153%27%-0.25