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17:30 · Kempton

Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap

1mStandardClass 63YO plusPOLYTRACKHandicap14 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
3
OR 55
11/2
Lovely Jubly silks

Canisbay Bloodstock

Lovely Jubly

5yo Mare · 9-7

Harry Angel - Plover (Oasis Dream)

Gina Mangan60%2/4M J Attwater60%
016813
7.0

Second career success when making all on C&D reappearance in July. Creditable third of 10 back here since. Merits consideration.

Class Advantage

30/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/0820/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/10 · mark par30/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/10 · mark par10/12 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/12 · mark par8/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par14/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength40%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 67%Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 31%30/08Pos 1 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 50%30/10Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 1 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 100%8/07Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 78%14/09
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +28.5%Ahead 2/4
4
Top Pick1
OR 60
15/2
Karakula Dancer silks

Mr Stuart Bond

Karakula Dancer

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Palace Pier - Mix And Mingle (Exceed And Excel)

Alice Bond60%0/2−5lbMartin Dunne60%
253833
6.0Going 10.0

Won 3 times on all-weather for James Ferguson earlier this year, including over C&D. Third under Alice Bond on both starts for new stable, faring best of those held up in a 14-runner contest over C&D latterly.

Class Advantage

30/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par30/0420/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par3/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/06 · mark par6/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par22/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par9/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength52%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 88%30/04Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 71%3/06Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 36%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 67%22/08Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 85%9/09
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength87%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.8%Ahead 3/4
6
Value2
OR 56
13/2
Mr Fustic silks

Dave Tonge, Steph Collins & Andi

Mr Fustic

8yo Gelding · 9-8

Epaulette - Marion Antoinette (Antonius Pius)

Oisin Murphy70%Andi Brown70%
314504
5.0
Cheek piecesTongue strap

Free-going sort who had race run to suit when back on the scoreboard at Southwell (1m) in March. Best effort since when fourth of 12 at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 15 days ago, keeping on from further back than ideal. This C&D winner is respected under Murphy.

Class Advantage

21/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/02 · mark par21/0221/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/03 · mark par30/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par19/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/05 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par15/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 83%Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 71%21/02Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 73%30/04Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 31%31/08Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 73%15/09
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength88%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.0%Ahead 3/4
10
6
OR 54
7/2
Amber Honey silks

Mr G & Mrs P Edwards

Amber Honey

4yo Filly · 9-6

Expert Eye - Sterling Sound (Street Cry)

Paddy Bradley1/4P Phelan
059941
6.0

Struck at the fourth time of asking for new yard when seeing off 7 rivals at Lingfield (1m, all-weather) 18 days ago. Should remain competitive off 3 lb higher.

Class Advantage

17/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below17/03 · mark par17/038/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/04 · mark par1/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par21/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par4/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par12/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 10 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 10%17/03Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%1/06Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 40%4/08Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%12/09
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.8%Ahead 2/4
13
Market Fav4
OR 56
3/1
Hove Ranger silks

The Tongdean Partnership & Gary Moore

Hove Ranger

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Galiway - Aimara (Makfi)

H Crouch60%G & J Moore60%
621531
8.0Going 8.0

Course scorer in February. Resumed winning ways returned to all-weather when quickening up well to lead in the dying strides at Lingfield (1¼m) 44 days ago. Considered up 2 lb.

Class Advantage

31/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a31/1214/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/01 · mark par25/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/02 · mark par12/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par30/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par17/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par17/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength70%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 67%Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 44%31/12Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%25/02Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 3 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 50%30/06Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%17/08
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength70%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.3%Ahead 2/4
2
7
OR 59
25/1
Forca Timao silks

Mrs M Elliott

Forca Timao

6yo Gelding · 9-11

Kessaar - Belle Diva (Dark Angel)

Kieren Fox70%M Pattinson
644538
4.0Class ↓5
1st Hood +1

Been a while since he scored. Best effort this season when close third of 8 in handicap at Lingfield (1¼m, all-weather) last month but stopped quickly back on turf at Leicester since.

Class Advantage

24/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/01 · mark par24/0127/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/02 · mark par20/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/04 · mark par27/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/05 · mark par17/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par8/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength78%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 83%Dist: 1m · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 55%24/01Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 70%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 63%20/04Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 69%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 71%17/08Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 13%8/09
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 5-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength20%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.3%Ahead 3/4
9
9
OR 54
16/1
Beta Reader silks

Mrs P J Sheen

Beta Reader

4yo Gelding · 9-6

Study Of Man - Beta (Selkirk)

Alec VoikhanskyMrs L J Mongan60%
297386
3.0
Cheek pieces

Has a 1-21 record and latest 4 lengths sixth of 8 to Hove Ranger at Lingfield doesn't obviously suggest that a second success is imminent.

Class Advantage

12/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/02 · mark par12/0227/02 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/02 · mark par1/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/04 · mark par7/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/05 · mark par1/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par17/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par17/08projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength46%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 67%Dist: 1m · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 83%12/02Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 25%1/04Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 13%1/07Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 29%17/08
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 2-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +34.4%Ahead 4/4
1
5
OR 60
33/1
Squiffy silks

Mr Robert E Tillett

Squiffy

4yo Filly · 9-12

Iffraaj - Collate (Oasis Dream)

Finley Marsh70%H Main60%
4140
4.0

Improved to open her account at the second time of asking at Wolverhampton (7f) last December. Matched that form when fourth there on handicap debut back in May but well held switched to turf at Windsor since.

Class Advantage

28/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a28/1113/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/1211/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par11/0514/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength65%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 75%Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 57%28/11Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%13/12Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%11/05Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 9%14/09
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 13-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.2%Ahead 3/4
14
10
OR 56
13/2
Melodical silks

C Spencer-herbert, M Herbert & L Bellm

Melodical

3yo Filly · 9-4

Sergei Prokofiev - Ebb (Acclamation)

K Shoemark60%E Walker
435655
3.0

Low-mileage 3-y-o who was a respectable fifth of 9 in handicap (6/1) at Lingfield (1m, all-weather 18 days ago. Being eased another 2 lb can only help.

Class Advantage

14/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/0816/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par12/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength58%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 67%Dist: 1m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 57%14/08Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 71%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%9/10Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 60%27/08Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%12/09
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 5-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength34%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -19.9%Ahead 0/4
12
8
OR 57
16/1
Red Moon silks

Thurloe Thoroughbreds Lviii & Partner

Red Moon

3yo Gelding · 9-5

Twilight Son - Nardin (Royal Applause)

George Bass60%0/4J Channon60%
013565
3.0Class ↓4
Visor

Won over 7f on handicap debut at Salisbury in June but not kicked on since, faring little better for a first-time visor and step up to 1m last time.,

Class Advantage

23/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/0514/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par17/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par30/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par30/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par13/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength75%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 18%23/05Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 67%17/06Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 17%30/07Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 56%13/09
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 8-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength3%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.6%Ahead 1/4
11
11
OR 57
33/1
Exquisite Skye silks

Dynasty Racing

Exquisite Skye

3yo Filly · 9-5

A'ali - Terre Du Vent (Kutub)

Jonny PeateMichael Keady60%
330740
3.0
Cheek pieces

Maiden who is significantly back down in trip having failed to stay 11.5f at Windsor last time but her mark remains a stiff one.

Class Advantage

9/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/0825/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/12 · mark par27/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/04 · mark par12/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par29/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength70%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 67%9/08Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 18%3/12Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 50%12/06Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 17%29/08
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 8-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength12%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.5%Ahead 4/4
3
12
OR 60
25/1
Open To Offers silks

Rhonehurst Stables

Open To Offers

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Starspangledbanner - Weekend Fling (Forest Wildcat)

Charles BishopW Greatrex
879
3.0

Well held in 3 qualifying runs (all-weather) but handicaps provide him with a more realistic chance. There are quite a few winners in his family and he's worth a second look in the betting.

Class Advantage

5/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/1127/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/089/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/09projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength70%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 100%Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 13%5/11Pos 7 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 0%27/08Pos 9 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 20%9/09
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 8-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength18%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.8%Ahead 2/3