15:18 · Nottingham

Hospitality At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap

1m 2f 50yGoing TBCClass 53YO plusTURFHandicap14 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Market Fav3
OR 70
4/1
Crimson Road silks

Mr G Farr

5yo Gelding · 10-0

Masar - Redhawk (Mastercraftsman)

Adam Wedge60%J L Flint
594111
8.0

Fourth of 9 over C&D in July before rattling up a quick hat-trick, still looking in rude health when sharing a dead-heat of 7 at Brighton 38 days ago. Now faces a 5 lb higher mark so may prove vulnerable.

Class Advantage

5/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/04 · mark par5/047/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/05 · mark par2/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par24/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par9/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par24/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par24/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 14
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 50y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 60%5/04Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 63%2/07Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 100%9/08Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%24/08
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength88%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.9%Ahead 4/4
3
5
OR 69
9/2
Renesmee silks

Dynasty Racing

6yo Mare · 9-13

Iffraaj - Magique (Jeremy)

K S McHugh3/13−7lbMichael Keady60%
606582
4.0
Cheek pieces

Out of sorts before second of 7 at Wolverhampton on all-weather 13 days ago when returned to 9.5f. Has won at this track and is well treated if able to back up recent effort.

Class Advantage

5/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par5/0617/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par31/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par25/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/08 · mark par18/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 11th of 14
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength57%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 50y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 38%5/06Pos 24 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 24 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 38%31/07Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 13%25/08Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 83%18/09
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength90%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.2%Ahead 3/4
10
7
OR 67
14/1
Taradif silks

Wentdale Limited

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Lope De Vega - Lawahed (Invincible Spirit)

S M Levey70%0/2Jessica Macey60%
858736
3.0
Tongue strap

Not long with yard and produced creditable third of 7 over 1m at Doncaster in August. Didn't appeal as well treated when sixth of 9 at Southwell last time, though, and now steps up in trip.

Class Advantage

18/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/0829/01 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/02 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a28/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/06 · mark par15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par31/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 14
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 50y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 8 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 22%18/08Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 56%Pos 8 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 8 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 30%19/02Pos 7 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 67%15/08Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 38%31/08
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength93%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.5%Ahead 3/4
6
Value2
OR 67
10/1
Didaar silks

The Sligo Postmen

5yo Gelding · 9-11

No Nay Never - Eloquent (Galileo)

Jack Dace70%−5lbGihan Arnolda60%
367135
6.0
Cheek pieces

Finally off the mark over C&D in July then backed that up with a third here later that month. Often races freely and didn't get home upped to 1½m at Newmarket 56 days ago and now returns to the scene of his win only 2 lb higher so is respected back at this trip.

Class Advantage

1/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/12 · mark par1/1229/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/01 · mark par20/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par4/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par18/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par6/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par6/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 14
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 50y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 82%1/12Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 38%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 40%20/06Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 60%18/07Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 20%6/08
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 3-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength27%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.1%Ahead 1/4
1
Top Pick1
OR 70
14/1
Celestias Comet silks

Mr & Mrs Dowling And Mr & Mrs Marney

4yo Filly · 10-0

Saxon Warrior - Tobairin (Teofilo)

Jonny Peate2/9J R Fanshawe60%
665517
5.0Class ↓4
Hood

Won readily over C&D in early July, coming from off a solid gallop. Ran no sort of race when seventh of 10 in a handicap at Sandown later that month but off 64 days since and should again get a good tempo to chase so could bounce back.

Class Advantage

4/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/03 · mark par4/0330/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par18/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par9/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par4/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par29/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par29/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 14
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength58%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 50y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 0%4/03Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 43%18/05Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 64%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%4/07Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 33%29/07
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 8-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength9%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.3%Ahead 1/4
4
6
OR 69
20/1
Pleasant Man silks

Hill Top Equestrian Centre Ltd

8yo Gelding · 9-13

Galileo - Melito (Redoute's Choice)

Taryn Langley60%−5lbJoey Ramsden60%
331385
4.0Class ↓5
Cheek pieces

Veteran who isn't the force of old but won an ordinary affair at Doncaster in June, making all. Had limitations exposed next 3 starts and unlikely to get things his way on the front end here.

Class Advantage

29/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par29/0516/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par20/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par2/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par10/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par25/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/09 · mark par25/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 14
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength54%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 50y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 82%29/05Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%20/06Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 33%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 22%10/07Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%25/09
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength42%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.8%Ahead 3/4
11
8
OR 60
8/1
Why Not Me silks

Dame Judi Dench And Partners

4yo Filly · 9-4

Time Test - Brushing (Medicean)

Marco Ghiani60%0/1S C Williams60%
243
5.0

Well-bred filly but she's gone the wrong way from her second on debut last year, including when checking out of things tamely over this trip on turf debut at Ripon last time. Hard to be sure what to expect on handicap debut.

Class Advantage

27/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a27/1118/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/0831/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a31/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 14
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength58%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 50y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 67%27/11Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 40%18/08Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 33%31/08
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength63%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.0%Ahead 1/3
7
9
OR 66
6/1
Garden Oasis silks

Mr T A Scothern & Partner

11yo Gelding · 9-10

Excelebration - Queen Arabella (Medicean)

D Allan60%7/32T D Easterby60%
423375
4.0
Blinkers

Veteran who has produced several placed efforts this year and, though mainly racing over 1m nowadays, he has won at this trip before and is well berthed to employ his usual front-running tactics. Far from certain to get his own way in a field of this size, but he merits respect from easing mark.

Class Advantage

29/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par29/0618/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par5/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par15/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par1/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par17/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 14
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength72%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 50y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%29/06Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 83%Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 60%5/08Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%1/09Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 56%17/09
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength81%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.3%Ahead 2/4
14
4
OR 60
8/1
Mohaab silks

Kebar Racing

3yo Filly · 9-0

Mohaather - Abbotsfield (Sakhee's Secret)

David Probert70%0/1W Muir & C Grassick
142706
4.0

Wide-margin winner over C&D (good to soft) in May. Found things tougher since but mark is now just 2 lb above that winning one and the return to this venue could spark a revival, though softer going would likely be more in her favour.

Class Advantage

19/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/05 · mark par19/051/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par27/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par10/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par16/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 12th of 14
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 50y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%19/05Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 75%27/06Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 33%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 18%28/08Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%16/09
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength18%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -17.3%Ahead 1/4
13
10
OR 57
20/1
Roman Secret silks

Dr M Voikhansky & Mrs S Voikhanskaya

5yo Mare · 9-1

Holy Roman Emperor - Secret Existence (Sakhee's Secret)

Alec Voikhansky0/8L A Mullaney
163815
5.0

Twice a winner on all-weather this year, including since joining this yard when beating subsequent winner at Lingfield in August. Not so good back on turf last time but that was in a better grade and she has made the frame on 4 of her 5 starts at this track so isn't without hope.

Class Advantage

17/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/04 · mark par17/0430/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par2/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par11/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par8/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 14
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 50y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 100%17/04Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 80%2/06Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 100%11/08Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 33%8/09
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 3-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength27%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.2%Ahead 3/4
12
13
OR 63
12/1
Crimson Rambler silks

Mrs Angela Stokes

3yo Gelding · 9-3

Bated Breath - Infanta Isabella (Lope De Vega)

Liam Wright60%1/8M Crawley60%
393255
4.0
Blinkers

Won twice on all-weather in March and has produced several solid in-frame efforts on turf since, though last couple of outings haven't been so encouraging which tempers enthusiasm.

Class Advantage

21/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/04 · mark par21/0428/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/05 · mark par19/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par18/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par31/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par7/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 14
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 50y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 75%21/04Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 78%19/06Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 33%31/07Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 60%7/09
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 2-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.2%Ahead 2/4
9
12
OR 67
25/1
New Bay Star silks

Mr Gavin Hamilton

3yo Gelding · 9-7

New Bay - Stellar Path (Astronomer Royal)

Ray Dawson60%0/1M Appleby
232060
2.0

Still finding his feet for this yard and probably wasn't suited by drop back to 1m at Yarmouth last time. Return to this trip should suit and stable has shown better signs of form lately.

Class Advantage

11/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/12 · mark par11/129/01 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/01 · mark par21/01 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/01 · mark par29/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par31/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par17/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 13th of 14
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength48%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 50y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 86%11/12Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 67%21/01Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 41%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 17%31/08Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 31%17/09
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 8-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength15%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.2%Ahead 2/4
8
11
OR 64
16/1
Expressionless silks

Chris Housego & Dylan Cunha

6yo Gelding · 9-8

Intello - Putois Peace (Pivotal)

Joanna Mason1/1Dylan Cunha60%
858358
3.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Slow starter who has not beaten a rival in 3 outings and usually races over further than this nowadays, but he does at least have 3 course wins to his name and stable is going well.

Class Advantage

12/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par12/0623/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par13/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/07 · mark par28/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par20/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par4/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 14th of 14
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 50y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 0%12/06Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 13%13/07Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%20/08Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%4/09
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 12-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -33.7%Ahead 0/4
5
14
OR 68
20/1
Public Enemy silks

Mr Chris Baldwin

5yo Gelding · 9-12

Magna Grecia - Chibola (Roy)

Alistair Rawlinson60%E Smyth-Osbourne
436
3.0

A dual winner in maiden/novice company over hurdles in 2025 for Anthony Honeyball but struggled in handicaps since. Now makes stable/British Flat debut switched to a handicap after 162 days off and is hard to assess.

Class Advantage

31/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/05 · mark par31/0529/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/10 · mark par23/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/11 · mark par9/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/03 · mark par6/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/04 · mark par22/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/04 · mark par22/04projClass-projected finish: 6th of 14
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength60%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 50y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%31/05Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%23/11Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 33%6/04Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 50%22/04
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 9-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -15.7%Ahead 1/4