12:15 · Ascot

BetMGM British EBF October Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Listed)

7fGoing TBCClass 13YO plusTURF12 runners
Ordered by projected finish
12
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 103
1/1
So Regal silks

Cheveley Park Stud

3yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 6

Kingman - Queen's Trust (Dansili)

Billy Loughnane70%J & T Gosden60%
31125
7.0Going 9.0

Built on debut promise when winning a Newmarket maiden (1m) on return and followed up in novice at this course. Good efforts in defeat the last twice, runner-up in listed race at York in May and beaten only a length when fifth of 10 in Group 3 at Sandown 5 weeks ago. Strong claims back down in trip.

Class Advantage

27/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a27/1115/04 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a1/05 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a15/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par29/08 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 4/7 | Expected: 97%Pos 3 · SP 4/7 | Actual: 78%27/11Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 100%15/04Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%1/05Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 83%15/05Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 56%29/08
Projected finish1st of 12
▲ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-281/100
9
5
OR 95
16/1
Just A Girl silks

Mr Colin Bryce

3yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 12

Bobby's Kitten - Mullein (Oasis Dream)

Callum Shepherd70%0/1C Johnston
422283
6.0Going 8.0

Sole success came in novice on the turf at Lingfield last summer but has still improved this season, runner-up 3 times including in listed race at Carlisle in June. Soon bounced back from a below-par run when 1½ lengths third in another listed contest at Deauville in August.

Class Advantage

17/04 · C3 · finish vs mark above17/04 · mark par17/0415/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par30/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par24/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above24/06 · mark par11/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par8/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par8/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲2
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 25%17/04Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 88%30/05Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 13%11/07Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 78%8/08
Projected finish2nd of 12
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength57%
ExpectedActualTrend
91%1-1045/100
5
4
OR 89
10/1
Albaydaa silks

Shadwell Estate Company Ltd

3yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 1

Pinatubo - Manaajim (Muhaarar)

Harry Davies60%0/1W J Haggas
321582
6.0Going 8.0

Continued her progress when landing the odds in handicap at Carlisle (7f) in May and, after a couple of respectable efforts (listed race on first occasion), got back on the up when second to a thriving rival at Salisbury (6f) last month. Will need to find more again.

Class Advantage

16/04 · C2 · finish vs mark above16/04 · mark par16/048/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par30/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par24/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above24/06 · mark par20/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par3/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 83%16/04Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 100%30/05Pos 5 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 5 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 61%20/08Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 88%3/09
Projected finish3rd of 12
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
82%3-964/100
2
2
OR 98
8/1
Breckenbrough silks

Mr M A R Blencowe

4yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 10

Kingman - Life Of Pi (Sea The Stars)

S M Levey70%M Baratti60%
134556
4.0Going 8.0

Ex Andrew Balding filly who has developed into a useful sort for this yard, ending 2025 with listed success at Saint-Cloud. Made the frame in listed races at Longchamp on first 2 starts this season and has had excuses since, suffering interference in Group 3 at Longchamp 20 days ago.

Class Advantage

3/10 · C1 · finish vs mark above3/10 · mark par3/1023/04 · C1 · finish vs mark above23/04 · mark par14/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above14/05 · mark par6/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par4/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par13/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 100%3/10Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 67%14/05Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 20%4/07Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 17%13/09
Projected finish4th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
73%2-1237/100
3
3
OR 100
15/2
Dash Of Azure silks

Tony Bloom & Ian McAleavy

4yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 2

Blue Point - Miss Dashwood (Dylan Thomas)

Callum Hutchinson60%R M Beckett80%
702209
4.0Class ↓0

Successful twice in handicaps last season before narrowly denied in this race. Without a win during the current campaign, but runner-up in 2 listed races at Chester and was unsuited by the drop back to 6f at Pontefract last time. No surprise to see a bold show.

Class Advantage

9/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par9/0517/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par27/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par11/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par29/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par16/08 · C1 · finish vs mark below16/08 · mark par16/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%9/05Pos 12 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 21%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 83%27/06Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 25%29/07Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 11%16/08
Projected finish5th of 12
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength46%
ExpectedActualTrend
64%1-1226/100
6
7
OR 99
16/1
Awaken silks

Highclere Thoroughbred Racing - Maple

3yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 3

Mehmas - Circulation (Oasis Dream)

D Tudhope60%G Boughey
400646
3.0Class ↓0

Made the frame in the Albany at this course (6f) and Rockfel at Newmarket at 2 yrs. Worked her way back to form this season when fourth in a 1m Deauville Group 3 in August, before failing to last home over 9f at Chantilly 2 weeks ago. Drop back in trip/grade should be more suitable.

Class Advantage

26/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/09 · mark par26/0915/04 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/04 · mark par19/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par29/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par15/08 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par19/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 67%26/09Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 9%Pos 15 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 52%19/06Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 58%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 73%15/08Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 29%19/09
Projected finish6th of 12
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength56%
ExpectedActualTrend
55%1-1226/100
7
9
OR 97
16/1
Domina Ignis silks

AMO Racing Limited

3yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 8

Pinatubo - Your Ladyship (Lawman)

C Lee70%K P De Foy60%
13007
3.0Class ↓1

Impressive debut winner at Southwell last year and shaped well when third in the Fred Darling at Newbury on return. Well held in 1000 Guineas/Jersey Stakes next 2 starts, but took a step back in the right direction when 4 lengths seventh of 19 in Group 3 at Doncaster 20 days ago.

Class Advantage

21/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a21/1118/04 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/05 · mark par20/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par13/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%21/11Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 85%18/04Pos 18 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 18 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 6%3/05Pos 13 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 20%20/06Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 67%13/09
Projected finish7th of 12
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength67%
ExpectedActualTrend
45%1-949/100
10
10
OR 102
8/1
Midnight Tango silks

Brightwalton Bloodstock Ltd

3yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 11

Night Of Thunder - Nina Bailarina (Lope De Vega)

K Shoemark60%0/5E Walker
460206
4.0Class ↓1

Showed much improved form when runner-up in the Pavilion Stakes here (6f) on return in May. Left poorly placed in the Commonwealth Cup next time, before possibly needing the run after 2 months off in listed race at Newmarket in August. Merits consideration.

Class Advantage

9/08 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par9/086/09 · C1 · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par10/10 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/10 · mark par1/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/05 · mark par19/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par22/08 · C1 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 25%9/08Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%10/10Pos 2 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 13 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 43%19/06Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 17%22/08
Projected finish8th of 12
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength97%
ExpectedActualTrend
36%1-764/100
8
6
OR 94
25/1
Josh's Joy silks

Orr, Medallion, Hoffman & Weston

3yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 9

Wootton Bassett - Learza (High Chaparral)

Jason Watson70%Donnacha O'Brien60%
231755
3.0Going 7.0
Tongue strap

Maiden winner at Naas (6f) at the fourth attempt last year. Not seen to best effect on handicap/seasonal debut and has run well at Group 3 level the last twice, returning from 4 months off when fifth of 12 at Cork in August. Drops in grade but more still required.

Class Advantage

21/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a21/0810/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a12/10 · C8 · finish vs mark above12/10 · mark par3/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below3/04 · mark par17/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par30/08 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲5
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 90%21/08Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%12/10Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 60%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 43%17/05Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 64%30/08
Projected finish9th of 12
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength47%
ExpectedActualTrend
27%3-1151/100
11
8
OR 83
33/1
Secret History silks

TBT Racing

3yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 7

Ardad - Gumriyah (Shamardal)

George DowningE Walker
114136
5.0Going 10.0
Hood

Made it 3 wins from her first 4 starts this season when scoring in 7f handicap at Newmarket in July. Again ran well when third in 20-runner contest at Glorious Goodwood (6f), before not ideally placed at York's Ebor meeting. Has something to find up in grade, though.

Class Advantage

29/01 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a29/0126/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/04 · mark par30/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par11/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par28/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par20/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par20/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲3
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 2/9 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 2/9 | Actual: 100%29/01Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 57%30/05Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 89%28/07Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 72%20/08
Projected finish10th of 12
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength26%
ExpectedActualTrend
18%7-1173/100
4
11
OR 95
33/1
Mostar Dreams silks

J Fyffe, A Edmondson & L McGurty

5yo Mare · 9-2 · Draw 5

Saxon Warrior - Hope So (Bated Breath)

Barry McHugh70%A Keatley
924399
3.0Going 8.0

Gained a first success for this yard in 1m handicap at Newcastle in January. Good efforts when making the frame in a pair of listed races at Pontefract in July but below form the last twice, running poorly back in handicap company at Thirsk (6f) on latest outing.

Class Advantage

6/02 · C4 · finish vs mark below6/02 · mark par6/0224/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/06 · mark par7/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par26/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par8/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par5/09 · C3 · finish vs mark below5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 27%6/02Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 73%7/07Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 11%8/08Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%5/09
Projected finish11th of 12
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength35%
ExpectedActualTrend
9%4-1252/100
1
12
OR 96
25/1
American Gal silks

Mildmay Racing Ag

4yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 4

Kameko - Granny Franny (Grand Slam)

Lewis Edmunds60%0/1R M Beckett80%
779008
2.0Class ↓1

Listed winner over 1m in France last year and went close in the Valiant Stakes at this course. Largely struggled on first 4 starts this season, but there were better signs on first run since leaving Ed Walker when never-nearer eighth of 19 in Group 3 at Doncaster (7f) 20 days ago.

Class Advantage

20/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/09 · mark par20/0928/03 · C1 · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par3/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/05 · mark par17/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par7/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par13/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 7 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 54%20/09Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 11%3/05Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 61%Pos 10 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 10 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 18%7/07Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 61%13/09
Projected finish12th of 12
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength17%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%5-1258/100