13:30 · Gowran Park

Jack Duggan Memorial Handicap Hurdle

3m 40yGoing TBC4YO plusTURFHandicap13 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 124
4/1
Cobra Queen silks

Matt Fitzgerald

7yo Mare · 11-8

Milan - Maxford Lady (Presenting)

Alan O'Sullivan60%1/1−5lbH De Bromhead70%
4P8331
7.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Gained reward for some consistent efforts when winning 11-runner mares handicap at Ballinrobe 22 days ago by 2¼ lengths from Run For The Border. A 6 lb rise puts her on a career-high mark, though, and therefore improvement will be required if she's to follow up.

Class Advantage

29/09 · C12 · finish vs mark above29/09 · mark par29/098/11 · C1 · finish vs mark below8/11 · mark par15/06 · C12 · finish vs mark below15/06 · mark par17/07 · C12 · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par9/08 · C12 · finish vs mark below9/08 · mark par11/09 · C12 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength3%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 40y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%29/09Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 25%Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 36%15/06Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 87%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 78%9/08Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%11/09
Projected finish1st of 13
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-766/100
13
Value2
OR 105
5/1
Smallcraftwarning silks

We Win Farming Syndicate

9yo Gelding · 10-3

Gale Force Ten - Scrumptious (Sakhee)

Daniel King60%3/12J P Ryan
051341
8.0
Tongue strap

Won 13-runner handicap hurdle at Kilbeggan (25f) in September and proved better than ever when landing an 11-runner handicap at Roscommon 5 days ago by 1¼ lengths from Milan Forth. A 6 lb rise makes life harder, though, and steps back up in grade here.

Class Advantage

2/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par2/0820/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par4/09 · C10 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par7/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par23/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below23/09 · mark par28/09 · C10 · finish vs mark above28/09 · mark par28/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength18%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 40y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 47%2/08Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 100%4/09Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 77%23/09Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%28/09
Projected finish2nd of 13
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
92%1-479/100
4
3
OR 124
9/2
Mordor silks

R Stokes

6yo Gelding · 11-8

Roaring Lion - Secrete (Cape Cross)

Paddy Cleary60%−7lbG Elliott
212083
4.0Going 10.0

Won twice in this sphere last season and 11-runner handicap on Flat at Navan (1¾m) in March. Below form in heritage handicaps last 2 starts. Reverts to hurdling from a competitive mark and is entitled to be thereabouts.

Class Advantage

11/10 · C2 · finish vs mark above11/10 · mark par11/1030/03 · C9 · finish vs mark above30/03 · mark par2/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par15/05 · C12 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par16/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par19/08 · C2 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 13th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 40y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 14 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 14 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 28%11/10Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 3 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 90%2/05Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 71%Pos 15 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 26%16/06Pos 16 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%19/08
Projected finish3rd of 13
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength86%
ExpectedActualTrend
83%1-671/100
7
5
OR 116
12/1
Zoffman silks

James Owens & Mrs Derville Meade

7yo Gelding · 11-0

Zoffany - Empowermentofwomen (Manduro)

Donagh Meyler60%1/4N Meade
214840
5.0

Useful 1½m winner on the Flat who hasn't got close to that level over hurdles, and while he arrives in good form from the former, he has stamina to prove now tackling 3m in this sphere.

Class Advantage

25/05 · C12 · finish vs mark below25/05 · mark par25/0512/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par15/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par31/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par4/09 · C7 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par16/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 40y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 40%25/05Pos 13 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 71%15/08Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 92%4/09Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 70%16/09
Projected finish4th of 13
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
75%2-866/100
3
9
OR 124
6/1
Fad Eadrainn silks

Ardyk Ltd

8yo Gelding · 11-8

Mustameet - Honeybrook (Alderbrook)

Simon Torrens60%2/11P T Foley70%
10P354
4.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Won minor event at Fairyhouse last season. Ran well when 2¾ lengths fourth of 24 to Blue Mosque in listed handicap at Punchestown when last seen in April. Has run well off a break before but others preferred.

Class Advantage

12/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/10 · mark par12/104/11 · C12 · finish vs mark above4/11 · mark par29/12 · C1 · finish vs mark below29/12 · mark par21/02 · C12 · finish vs mark below21/02 · mark par6/04 · C12 · finish vs mark below6/04 · mark par30/04 · C1 · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par30/04projClass-projected finish: 6th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 40y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 0%12/10Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 14 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 13%29/12Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 71%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 71%6/04Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 87%30/04
Projected finish5th of 13
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
67%1-479/100
10
8
OR 110
16/1
Born Bright silks

Ms Claire O'Connell

7yo Mare · 10-8

Kalanisi - Born Noble (Dushyantor)

James Smith1/2−5lbC O'Connell60%
11434P
6.0
Cheek pieces

Dual-winning hurdler in 2024/25 and matched that feat over the larger obstacles last season. Acquitted herself well under both codes first 2 starts this season, though wasn't on a going day on return from 4-month break 7 days ago and is best watched here as a result.

Class Advantage

9/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a9/061/07 · C10 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par19/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par23/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below23/08 · mark par16/05 · C11 · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par8/06 · C12 · finish vs mark below8/06 · mark par8/06projClass-projected finish: 5th of 13
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 40y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 77%9/06Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%19/07Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 85%16/05Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 79%8/06
Projected finish6th of 13
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
58%1-861/100
9
10
OR 111
8/1
Butter Fingers silks

T J Ward

5yo Gelding · 10-9

Tough As Nails - Annagh Haven (Indian Haven)

Shane Markey1/6−7lbR O'Sullivan
436172
6.0

Justified support when winning 12-runner handicap chase at Wexford in May by 1¼ lengths from Tequila Talkin'. Bounced back from below-par effort at Galway when 1¾ lengths second of 13 to Soldante at Kilbeggan 29 days ago. Needs to improve on previous hurdling efforts to feature, though.

Class Advantage

1/01 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/01 · mark par1/014/03 · C11 · finish vs mark below4/03 · mark par5/04 · C11 · finish vs mark below5/04 · mark par7/05 · C10 · finish vs mark above7/05 · mark par28/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par4/09 · C11 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 40y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 63%1/01Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 72%5/04Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 68%28/07Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 92%4/09
Projected finish7th of 13
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
50%1-287/100
5
4
OR 120
12/1
Jacovec Cavern silks

The Turner Family

7yo Gelding · 11-4

Sixties Icon - Siri (Atlantic Sport)

Richard Condon2/10−5lbP Hennessy60%
0123P6
5.0
Cheek pieces

Winning chaser who got off the mark over hurdles in handicap at Punchestown in April. Followed that with pair of solid placed efforts but shaped as if amiss at Killarney in July and fared no better back over fences when last seen. Needs to bounce back but claims if doing so.

Class Advantage

25/01 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/01 · mark par25/0114/02 · C11 · finish vs mark below14/02 · mark par29/04 · C11 · finish vs mark above29/04 · mark par25/05 · C12 · finish vs mark below25/05 · mark par15/06 · C12 · finish vs mark below15/06 · mark par8/08 · C12 · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par8/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 13
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength32%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 40y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 10%25/01Pos 10 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 10 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 31%Pos 1 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 100%29/04Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 93%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 82%15/06Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 17%8/08
Projected finish8th of 13
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength33%
ExpectedActualTrend
42%1-1325/100
11
6
OR 110
14/1
Lough Nigara silks

Dunglen Racing Syndicate

9yo Gelding · 10-8

Sans Frontieres - Kings Queen (Wizard King)

Ricky Doyle2/14E Griffin80%
23121R
9.0
1st Blinkers +3Hood

Improved last season, winning handicap hurdles at Punchestown and Thurles and also placed on 5 different occasions. However, he flat out refused to race at Downpatrick when last seen and must be considered an unreliable betting proposition as a result.

Class Advantage

4/11 · C9 · finish vs mark below4/11 · mark par4/1121/11 · C9 · finish vs mark below21/11 · mark par1/01 · C9 · finish vs mark below1/01 · mark par12/01 · C9 · finish vs mark above12/01 · mark par4/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below4/02 · mark par5/03 · C10 · finish vs mark above5/03 · mark par5/03projClass-projected finish: 1st of 13
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 40y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 83%4/11Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 89%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 88%1/01Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 83%4/02Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%5/03
Projected finish9th of 13
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength46%
ExpectedActualTrend
33%5-1071/100
1
7
OR 128
16/1
Born Braver silks

Mrs J P Duffy

8yo Gelding · 11-12

Court Cave - Born Noble (Dushyantor)

Keith Donoghue60%2/7G P Cromwell70%
62010P
5.0
Cheek pieces

Won Ulster National at Downpatrick (extended 3½m) in March but followed that with 2 poor efforts. Potentially well treated back over hurdles on the back of a 5-month break, but yard is going through a relatively quiet spell and the market will likely prove most informative.

Class Advantage

6/12 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a6/1231/12 · C12 · finish vs mark below31/12 · mark par20/01 · C12 · finish vs mark below20/01 · mark par15/02 · C1 · finish vs mark below15/02 · mark par29/03 · C13 · finish vs mark above29/03 · mark par6/04 · C1 · finish vs mark below6/04 · mark par6/04projClass-projected finish: 7th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 40y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 47%6/12Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 86%20/01Pos 12 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 12 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 15%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%29/03Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 69%6/04
Projected finish10th of 13
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
25%2-1056/100
6
13
OR 119
16/1
My Trump Card silks

Wise Guys Syndicate

8yo Gelding · 11-3

Shantou - Screaming Witness (Shernazar)

Alex Harvey60%1/4J C McConnell
006816
4.0

Capitalised on a much-reduced mark when landing 9-runner 2m handicap hurdle at Kilbeggan in September. Wasn't in the same form last time, though, and has a bit to find on form.

Class Advantage

24/04 · C12 · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par24/042/08 · C12 · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par10/08 · C12 · finish vs mark below10/08 · mark par22/08 · C12 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par4/09 · C11 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par23/09 · C12 · finish vs mark below23/09 · mark par23/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 40y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 10 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 18%24/04Pos 14 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 19%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 17%10/08Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 46%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 100%4/09Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 62%23/09
Projected finish11th of 13
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
17%1-1143/100
8
11
OR 113
14/1
Moonovercloon silks

S Gillen & Midlands Partnership

9yo Gelding · 10-11

Sea Moon - Fiery Flame (Luso)

Michael Kenneally−5lbD Queally60%
6470PF
3.0
Visor

Low-key start for connections but shaped as if back in form prior to making one mistake too many when falling in maiden chase at Kilbeggan last time, looking set to finish second at time. Returns to hurdling from lower mark for yard that has won last 2 renewals of this race.

Class Advantage

8/08 · C13 · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par8/0820/08 · C13 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par27/08 · C12 · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par25/09 · C12 · finish vs mark below25/09 · mark par14/10 · C12 · finish vs mark below14/10 · mark par15/06 · C11 · finish vs mark below15/06 · mark par15/06projClass-projected finish: 12th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 40y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%8/08Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 22%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 58%27/08Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 81%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 63%14/10Pos 10 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 10 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 18%15/06
Projected finish12th of 13
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength9%
ExpectedActualTrend
8%7-1366/100
12
12
OR 108
25/1
Better Times silks

Mrs Sandra McCarthy

6yo Gelding · 10-6

Hillstar - New Vega (Blushing Flame)

Conor Smithers60%−7lbS G Carey
14U478
3.0

Fair winner at 2¾m over hurdles. Didn't quite match that level of form in a couple of starts over fences in the late-spring/early-summer. Shaped as if sharper for the run returned to this sphere on back of a 3-month break last time. Capable of being involved if staying the 3m trip.

Class Advantage

2/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/03 · mark par2/0329/03 · C11 · finish vs mark above29/03 · mark par14/04 · C11 · finish vs mark below14/04 · mark par15/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a30/05 · C11 · finish vs mark below30/05 · mark par11/09 · C11 · finish vs mark below11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 40y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 65%2/03Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 79%14/04Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 77%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 40%30/05Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 46%11/09
Projected finish13th of 13
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength21%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%6-1361/100