20:54 · Churchill Downs

Race 9 - Allowance Optional Claiming

1mGoing TBC3YO plusTURF10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
2
OR 97
9/2
Show Of Force silks

Triple V Racing Llc

4yo Gelding · 8-12

Omaha Beach - Life Force (Sky Mesa)

Edgar Morales2/6Genaro Garcia60%
635131
9.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

21/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/12 · mark par21/129/01 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/01 · mark par5/02 · C6 · finish vs mark below5/02 · mark par10/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above10/05 · mark par21/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par1/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par1/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength55%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 44%21/12Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 33%5/02Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 67%21/06Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%1/08
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +35.5%Ahead 3/4
7
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 104
5/2
Maui Strong silks

West Point Thoroughbreds, Blue Devil Racing Stable (holliday) And Barker, Edwin S

4yo Gelding · 8-10

Kitten's Joy - Legal Tender (Giant's Causeway)

Gerardo Corrales60%Dale Romans
462514
7.0Going 8.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

4/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par4/079/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/08 · mark par5/10 · C10 · finish vs mark below5/10 · mark par2/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/11 · mark par25/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par14/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below14/08 · mark par14/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength71%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 57%4/07Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 29%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 86%5/10Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%25/06Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%14/08
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.7%Ahead 1/4
2
4
OR 106
6/1
Out Of Deductions silks

Team Block

6yo Gelding · 8-10

Nyquist - Giant Deduction (Giant's Causeway)

Luis Saez60%Chris Block
637632
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

6/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below6/09 · mark par6/0928/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/09 · mark par30/11 · C6 · finish vs mark below30/11 · mark par27/12 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/12 · mark par10/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par26/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below26/07 · mark par26/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 44%6/09Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 7 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 7 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 45%30/11Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 82%10/06Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 88%26/07
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.5%Ahead 2/4
6
5
OR 101
4/1
Two Beers By Ten silks

Turman Racing Stable Llc

5yo Horse · 8-10

Omaha Beach - Bahama Babe (Point Of Entry)

Jose Ortiz70%Michael Maker60%
221361
7.0

Class Advantage

1/01 · C7 · finish vs mark below1/01 · mark par1/0129/01 · C7 · finish vs mark below29/01 · mark par26/02 · C7 · finish vs mark above26/02 · mark par21/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below21/03 · mark par9/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par6/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par6/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 88%1/01Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 88%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%26/02Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%9/05Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%6/07
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.7%Ahead 2/4
1
3
OR 104
15/1
Joejoe Go silks

David Williams

4yo Gelding · 8-10

Tiz The Law - Moon Rainbow (Smart Strike)

Yedsit Hazlewood60%Christophe Davis80%
154760
4.0Going 8.0
1st Blinkers +3

Class Advantage

23/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/11 · mark par23/1127/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/12 · mark par7/02 · C6 · finish vs mark below7/02 · mark par12/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/04 · mark par24/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below24/06 · mark par31/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%23/11Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 70%7/02Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 25%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 44%24/06Pos 11 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 11 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 9%31/08
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -30.6%Ahead 0/4
9
6
OR 98
10/1
Firmus silks

Coffeepot Stables

4yo Colt · 8-10

Curlin - Farrell (Malibu Moon)

Jareth Loveberry60%Wayne Catalano60%
855516
4.0Going 8.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

2/11 · C6 · finish vs mark below2/11 · mark par2/1117/11 · C6 · finish vs mark below17/11 · mark par3/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par7/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par11/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/10 · mark par26/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below26/07 · mark par26/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength1%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 13%2/11Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 33%3/08Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%11/10Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 29%26/07
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength31%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.9%Ahead 1/4
10
7
OR 106
12/1
Tough Little Nut silks

Town And Country Racing Llc

5yo Gelding · 8-10

Palace Malice - Celestial Kitten (Kitten's Joy)

D E SheehyChris Block
562335
5.0

Class Advantage

11/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below11/05 · mark par11/058/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below8/06 · mark par12/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/04 · mark par5/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par24/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below24/06 · mark par26/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below26/07 · mark par26/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 64%11/05Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 55%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 88%12/04Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 78%24/06Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%26/07
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength41%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.9%Ahead 3/4
3
8
OR 102
10/1
Extensive silks

Cheyenne Stables Llc

5yo Horse · 8-10

City Of Light - Clothes Fall Off (Daaher)

Ben Curtis0/1Michael McCarthy60%
113445
4.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

16/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/03 · mark par16/037/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/04 · mark par26/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/05 · mark par3/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below3/05 · mark par26/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par8/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength3%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%16/03Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 67%26/05Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 57%26/06Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 33%8/08
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength11%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -24.7%Ahead 0/4
4
9
OR 92
20/1
Alder silks

David Jacobson

5yo Gelding · 8-10

Hard Spun - Arbol (Elusive Quality)

Francisco ArrietaDavid Jacobson60%
817841
7.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

7/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below7/05 · mark par7/0524/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above24/05 · mark par14/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below14/06 · mark par17/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par5/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below5/08 · mark par23/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par23/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 22%7/05Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 25%14/06Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 40%5/08Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%23/08
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 8-10 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.5%Ahead 2/4
8
10
OR 101
8/1
Oscar Season silks

Pocket Aces Racing Llc And Estate Of Brereton C Jones

5yo Gelding · 8-10

Oscar Performance - Same Cross (Proud Citizen)

Tyler Gaffalione1/2Brendan Walsh60%
830660
3.0

Class Advantage

24/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par24/0410/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below10/05 · mark par8/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below8/06 · mark par11/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below11/09 · mark par22/10 · C6 · finish vs mark below22/10 · mark par27/11 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/11 · mark par27/11projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 36%24/04Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 82%Pos 11 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 11 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 9%8/06Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 38%22/10Pos 11 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 11 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 0%27/11
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 8-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -58.1%Ahead 0/4