15:52 · Ffos Las

RHN Travel Handicap (Div 1)

1mGoing TBCClass 63YO plusTURFHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 55
4/1
Scarfo silks

Ian Muir

5yo Gelding · 9-9

Soldier's Call - Midsummer Breeze (Havana Gold)

Charlie Tucker70%0/9−7lbB J Llewellyn
322633
6.0Class ↓4

Excelled himself, from 13 lb out of the handicap, when third of 16 at Chepstow (1m, soft) 21 days ago. Raised 5 lb since but is not taken lightly here.

Class Advantage

15/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par15/0623/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par16/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par9/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par18/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/08 · mark par31/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength64%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 78%15/06Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 89%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 91%16/07Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 55%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 71%18/08Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 87%31/08
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.2%Ahead 3/4
3
Market Fav2
OR 51
2/1
Beaming Light silks

Mrs S L Loughnane

6yo Gelding · 9-5

Harbour Law - Beaming (Shamardal)

Oisin Murphy70%1/1D Loughnane
560473
5.0

Last success came over C&D in June of last year. Dropped a long way down the weights and posted best effort for a while when good third of 10 in handicap at Southwell (7f) 25 days ago. Merits consideration.

Class Advantage

26/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/04 · mark par26/041/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par15/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below15/06 · mark par14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par30/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 33%26/04Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 18%15/06Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 45%30/07Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 78%27/08
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.9%Ahead 1/4
5
3
OR 50
7/1
Private Officer silks

Mr Adrian Wintle

5yo Gelding · 9-4

U S Navy Flag - Simple Love (Proud Citizen)

David Probert70%A Wintle60%
671902
5.0
Cheek pieces

Ex-Irish gelding who was successful over 1m at Bellewstown in autumn 2024. Lightly raced since but shaped better than on debut for new yard when second of 8 in minor event over C&D (good to soft) 24 days ago, better placed than most. Cheekpieces back on. Not discounted.

Class Advantage

3/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/06 · mark par3/0623/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par3/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/10 · mark par14/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/10 · mark par29/10 · C6 · finish vs mark below29/10 · mark par28/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength62%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 69%3/06Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%3/10Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 12 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%29/10Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 86%28/08
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +24.2%Ahead 2/4
9
5
OR 47
9/2
Arvana Belle silks

Middleham Park Racing Cxi

3yo Filly · 8-11

Kodi Bear - Israfel (Dark Angel)

Darragh Keenan0/1B R Millman60%
735425
5.0

Posted best effort of this year when close second at this course (7f) last month and shaped better than the distance beaten when fifth of 11 in handicap at Bath (1m, good to firm) 9 days ago, finishing with running left. Likely player.

Class Advantage

9/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par9/0614/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par25/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par7/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par21/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par12/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%9/06Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 20%25/07Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 40%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 91%21/08Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 60%12/09
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength85%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.8%Ahead 1/4
6
6
OR 52
16/1
Grimese's Special silks

Mr J Grimes & Partner

3yo Filly · 9-2

Nando Parrado - Cafetiere (Iffraaj)

Isobelle Chalmers0/2−7lbJ S Moore60%
650855
3.0
Blinkers

Surprise 66/1 winner of a seller over 7f at Salisbury on second start last year, however, she's shown very little in handicaps since.

Class Advantage

3/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/10 · mark par3/1026/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/12 · mark par23/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par9/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par28/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par13/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength61%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%3/10Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 13 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 8%23/05Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 5 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 43%28/08Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 56%13/09
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +34.0%Ahead 4/4
2
4
OR 53
14/1
Equion silks

Royale Racing Syndicate

8yo Gelding · 9-7

Mayson - Eleodora (Dubawi)

Tom Marquand70%0/1A W Carroll60%
265498
3.0Class ↓4

Went close from what was a career-low mark at Wolverhampton in December but little to shout about since and makes limited appeal.

Class Advantage

22/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/12 · mark par22/126/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/01 · mark par19/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/01 · mark par20/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par13/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below13/07 · mark par15/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength58%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 86%22/12Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 38%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 43%19/01Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 11%13/07Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%15/08
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength11%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.9%Ahead 1/4
8
8
OR 45
20/1
Belltony silks

Ocean's Five

4yo Gelding · 9-0

Massaat - Bellevarde (Kodiac)

J Mitchell60%R J Price
74655
3.0

Offered little in a trio of novice events and no upturn dropped into classified company over 7f here in June. Others make much more appeal. 1 lb out of the handicap.

Class Advantage

30/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/0123/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par30/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par30/06projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength68%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%30/01Pos 4 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 57%23/02Pos 6 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 0%16/03Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 33%15/06Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 43%30/06
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength16%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +24.1%Ahead 3/4
7
10
OR 46
14/1
Pebble Dash silks

Dave Maddocks And Partner

4yo Gelding · 9-0

Kodi Bear - Zippy Rock (Fastnet Rock)

K T O'NeillB J Llewellyn60%
446738
3.0
Visor

Long-standing maiden who has tended to save his best for Newcastle and he returned to form in first-time visor when third over 1m at that venue in July. Since changed hands for 3,000 gns and failed to beat a rival home over C&D since. Visor back on.

Class Advantage

6/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par6/0610/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par20/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par19/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par25/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par28/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength27%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 70%6/06Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 29%20/06Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 82%25/07Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%28/08
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength32%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.8%Ahead 3/4
4
7
OR 55
16/1
Who Is Alice silks

E Brown And T Snell

3yo Filly · 9-5

Kameko - Alice's Dancer (Clodovil)

Callum Hutchinson60%G Harris
965530
3.0Class ↓4
Hood

Found things a bit easier taking on her elders for the first time when third at Bath earlier this month but was too keen at same course since. Others preferred.

Class Advantage

22/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par22/0527/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par8/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below8/07 · mark par24/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par12/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 9 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%22/05Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%8/07Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 80%2/09Pos 13 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 13 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 8%12/09
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.0%Ahead 2/4
10
9
OR 45
14/1
Leia Antilles silks

Coombs, Candy & Poland

3yo Filly · 8-10

Bungle Inthejungle - Leia Organa (Mastercraftsman)

Saffie Osborne70%0/1H Candy
887456
3.0

Low-mileage 3-y-o has looked limited in handicaps thus far, including tried over a longer trip at Lingfield latest. 1 lb out of the weights. Improvement required.

Class Advantage

4/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/0828/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par13/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par4/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par25/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength57%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 13%4/08Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 14%29/05Pos 4 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 77%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%4/07Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%25/07
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength10%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.3%Ahead 3/4