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18:57 · Belmont Park

Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming

1m3YO plusDIRT6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Top Pick1
OR 98
3/1
Valtellina silks

Pavilion Racing

Valtellina

4yo Filly · 9-0

Complexity - Take Charge Sue (Take Charge Indy)

Dylan Davis60%3/7Raymond Handal60%
315251
6.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

21/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par21/0825/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/10 · mark par7/12 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/12 · mark par3/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/06 · mark par24/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par20/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par20/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼2
Strength84%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%21/08Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 40%7/12Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 20%24/07Pos 1 · SP 2/9 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 2/9 | Actual: 100%20/08
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength98%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.8%Ahead 2/4
6
Value2
OR 90
8/1
Will Not Be Swayed silks

Lieberman, Jay A , Krohn, Marjorie, Orangio, Guy And Peacock, Lisa

Will Not Be Swayed

4yo Filly · 9-0

War Of Will - Not Swayed (Honor Code)

Ricardo Jr Santana60%1/2Lolita Shivmangal60%
517351
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

17/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/04 · mark par17/0426/04 · C8 · finish vs mark above26/04 · mark par16/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par27/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par9/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below9/07 · mark par8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par8/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 43%17/04Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 14%16/05Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 33%9/07Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%8/08
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength98%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.5%Ahead 2/4
1
3
OR 90
5/2
Concurrently silks

Klaravich Stables, Inc

Concurrently

3yo Filly · 8-10

American Pharoah - Dreamcall (Midnight Lute)

Flavien Prat60%2/5Chad Brown60%
621313
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

29/08 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a29/0828/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/09 · mark par2/11 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/11 · mark par18/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par19/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 44%29/08Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 90%28/09Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%2/11Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%18/06Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%19/08
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.6%Ahead 3/4
5
Market Fav5
OR 92
2/1
Aeolian silks

Gainesway Stable (Antony Beck)

Aeolian

4yo Filly · 9-0

Tapit - Danzatrice (Dunkirk)

Manuel Franco70%Chad Brown60%
52116
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a31/0817/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/10 · mark par27/11 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/11 · mark par27/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par24/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 33%31/08Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 83%17/10Pos 1 · SP 8/13 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/13 | Actual: 100%27/11Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 100%27/06Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%24/07
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength87%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.1%Ahead 2/4
3
4
OR 94
6/1
Decadent silks

Magdalena Racing (sherri McPeek), Savvy Stables And Dervenis, Stephen

Decadent

4yo Filly · 8-12

Girvin - One More Minute (Istan)

Christopher Elliott0/2Kenneth McPeek60%
252372
5.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

27/11 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/11 · mark par27/1128/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/12 · mark par15/02 · C6 · finish vs mark below15/02 · mark par6/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below6/03 · mark par1/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below1/05 · mark par13/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below13/08 · mark par13/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 75%27/11Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 80%15/02Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 71%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 14%1/05Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 75%13/08
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength20%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -23.0%Ahead 0/4
2
6
OR 91
5/1
Purloin silks

Pezzuti, Robert

Purloin

5yo Mare · 9-0

Arrogate - Smooth Path (Scat Daddy)

Jose Lezcano60%1/4Linda Rice60%
312155
5.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

11/09 · C7 · finish vs mark below11/09 · mark par11/099/10 · C7 · finish vs mark above9/10 · mark par20/11 · C6 · finish vs mark below20/11 · mark par4/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/01 · mark par6/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/02 · mark par19/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength19%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 75%11/09Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%20/11Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 20%6/02Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%19/08
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.7%Ahead 2/4