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21:25 · Churchill Downs

Race 10 - Allowance Optional Claiming

1m 3fGoing TBC3YO plusTURF11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
10
Market Fav2
OR 108
3/1
Telescopic silks

Bbn Racing, Llc

Telescopic

5yo Gelding · 8-12

American Pharoah - Visage (Galileo)

Axel Concepcion0/1Victoria Oliver
424221
9.0

Class Advantage

3/01 · C6 · finish vs mark below3/01 · mark par3/0125/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par24/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par19/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par17/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par6/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength46%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 67%3/01Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 70%24/05Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 89%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 89%17/07Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%6/09
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength87%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.2%Ahead 1/4
6
Top Pick1
OR 107
12/1
Proven Advocate silks

Rene Lavergne

Proven Advocate

5yo Gelding · 8-10

Not This Time - Song Of Melody (Flat Out)

Brian Jr Hernandez0/1Jayde Gelner60%
364213
7.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

21/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/03 · mark par21/0325/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par9/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par13/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par11/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par3/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength40%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 71%21/03Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 55%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 63%9/05Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%11/07Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 80%3/09
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +34.0%Ahead 4/4
2
5
OR 103
4/1
The Hidden Chamber silks

Nbs Stable

The Hidden Chamber

4yo Colt · 8-10

American Pharoah - Mystery Strike (Smart Strike)

Luis Saez60%0/1Kelsey Danner
106562
5.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

29/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/03 · mark par29/0314/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below14/05 · mark par13/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par17/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par22/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par3/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%29/03Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 29%13/06Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 17%22/08Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 90%3/09
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.2%Ahead 3/4
8
6
OR 93
7/2
Warlander silks

Jordan Wycoff

Warlander

4yo Colt · 8-12

Kitten's Joy - Look Me Over (Hard Spun)

Tyler Gaffalione60%Michael Maker
735071
5.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

13/02 · C6 · finish vs mark below13/02 · mark par13/0229/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below29/03 · mark par22/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/04 · mark par24/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par21/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par6/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 33%13/02Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 56%22/04Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 10%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 45%21/06Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%6/09
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength86%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.7%Ahead 1/4
4
3
OR 101
10/1
Groveland silks

Hrh Racing And Kenneally, Eddie

Groveland

6yo Gelding · 8-10

Street Sense - Lucknow (Medaglia D'oro)

Francisco Arrieta1/1Eddie Kenneally60%
761213
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

16/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/02 · mark par16/0230/10 · C6 · finish vs mark below30/10 · mark par23/11 · C8 · finish vs mark above23/11 · mark par25/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/06 · mark par18/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par22/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a22/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%16/02Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%23/11Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 86%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%18/07Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 71%22/08
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.0%Ahead 3/4
1
4
OR 106
8/1
Demolition Duke silks

Hui, Michael M , Forte, Phil And Yocum, John H

Demolition Duke

6yo Horse · 8-10

Good Magic - Media Madness (Empire Maker)

Jose Ortiz70%1/7Michael Maker
855427
4.0Going 8.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

4/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below4/04 · mark par4/047/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below7/05 · mark par10/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par4/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below4/07 · mark par16/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below16/08 · mark par3/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 22%4/04Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 5 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 5 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 64%10/06Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 80%16/08Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 40%3/09
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.3%Ahead 1/4
5
7
OR 100
20/1
Guns And Glory silks

Taylor Luneack

Guns And Glory

5yo Gelding · 8-10

Gun Runner - Baby Go Far (Elusive Quality)

D E Sheehy60%0/4Chris Hartman
885334
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

29/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below29/03 · mark par29/0318/04 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/04 · mark par25/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/05 · mark par12/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par25/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par3/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 22%29/03Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%25/05Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 71%25/07Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 70%3/09
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength32%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.5%Ahead 3/4
7
9
OR 108
8/1
Winston silks

Club 65 Racing Llc, Chief Horse Futures Llc And Liberty House Racing Llc

Winston

5yo Gelding · 8-10

Forge - Wally Nut (Luhuk)

Victor CarrascoHoracio De
224233
6.0

Class Advantage

4/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/0427/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/043/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/0616/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below16/08 · mark par16/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f · 25%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 89%4/04Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 86%27/04Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 80%3/06Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 60%16/08
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.7%Ahead 2/4
11
10
OR 107
10/1
Clyde's Got A Gun silks

100% Racing Stable, Llc

Clyde's Got A Gun

6yo Gelding · 8-10

Gun Runner - Gone Theatrical (Theatrical)

James Graham60%Helen Pitts
206657
3.0

Class Advantage

18/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below18/08 · mark par18/0820/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below20/03 · mark par23/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/04 · mark par14/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below14/05 · mark par13/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par4/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below4/07 · mark par4/07projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 86%18/08Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 18%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 29%23/04Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 43%13/06Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 33%4/07
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength38%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.3%Ahead 3/4
3
8
OR 90
30/1
Devil Anse silks

Shagbark Farm Llc

Devil Anse

4yo Gelding · 8-10

Daredevil - Madame Du Lac (Lemon Drop Kid)

William Iii Antongeorgi60%Ryan Walsh
869014
5.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

8/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below8/03 · mark par8/0329/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below29/03 · mark par22/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/04 · mark par21/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par27/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par19/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 13%8/03Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 11%22/04Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 9%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%27/07Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 40%19/08
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 7-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength9%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.1%Ahead 3/4
9
11
OR 95
30/1
Real Fast silks

Fivebred Stables Llc, Bell, Jeffrey, Bell, Kristen, Jones, Steven L And Jones, Amy

Real Fast

6yo Gelding · 8-10

Kitten's Joy - Kiss Me Now (T. H. Approval)

Yedsit Hazlewood60%Barry King60%
548689
2.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

21/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below21/03 · mark par21/0319/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/04 · mark par21/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/05 · mark par10/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par4/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below4/07 · mark par26/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below26/07 · mark par26/07projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 56%21/03Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 22%21/05Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 55%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 22%4/07Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%26/07
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength19%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +24.7%Ahead 3/4