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9

Bold Impact

4yo Gelding · 11-3 · OR 76

Ascot · Autumn Racing Weekend Amateur Jockeys' Handicap (Male Amateurs) · 7f

#7

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Doubled his tally at Windsor (1m) in July. Back on track with third of 14 in handicap at Newmarket (9f, good to firm) 13 days ago. Possibilities.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength42%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Newmarket 16/04/2026 · Pos 18th of 18 · OR 83 · 7f Gd 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/04/2026 · OR 83 par16/043OR 834 @ Windsor 04/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 79 · 6f12y Goo 134 · beat its mark04/05/2026 · OR 79 par3 @ Windsor 25/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 77 · 1m31y GF 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 77 par25/053OR 774 @ Chepstow 06/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 73 · 7f16y Sft 128 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 73 par5 @ Ffos Las 29/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 73 · 1m Goo 134 · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 73 par29/065OR 734 @ Windsor 13/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 73 · 1m31y Goo 135 · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 73 par3 @ Windsor 13/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 78 · 1m2f GF 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 78 par13/083OR 784 @ Windsor 29/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 77 · 1m31y Sft 133 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 77 par4 @ Newmarket 19/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 76 · 1m1f Gd 152 · beat its mark19/09/2026 · OR 76 par19/094OR 76projClass-projected finish: 8th of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Newmarket43rd3rd0
2026-08-29Windsor45th5th0
2026-08-13Windsor37th6th+1
2026-07-13Windsor41st1st0
2026-06-29Ffos Las54th5th−1
2026-06-06Chepstow43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/046/0613/0819/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1841% of fieldRange 8-18 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength9%

Delivery trend -5.2% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 11th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/04/202618th50/10%0%0.00
04/05/20264th25/10%70%+0.70
25/05/20267th28/10%33%+0.33
06/06/20263rd11/142%78%+0.36
29/06/20264th11/486%40%-0.46
13/07/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
13/08/20267th9/153%14%-0.38
29/08/20265th4/179%43%-0.36
19/09/20263rd11/142%85%+0.43