14:16 · Wolverhampton

Franklin Hodge Handicap (Div 1)

6f 20yGoing TBCClass 53YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
Market Fav2
OR 66
5/2
Miracleoftheandes silks

Jim and Claire Limited

3yo Filly · 9-7

Nando Parrado - Tamaara (Sepoy)

L Morris70%W Greatrex
842561
7.0

Improved to get off the mark in 8-runner handicap (33/1) over C&D in August by 1½ lengths from Campenaerts, wandering under pressure but responding well. A quirky sort who's now 5 lb higher in the weights.

Class Advantage

24/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/0610/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par12/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below12/08 · mark par26/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength50%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 20y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 46%24/06Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 63%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 88%4/07Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 29%12/08Pos 1 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 100%26/08
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +36.7%Ahead 3/4
2
Top Pick1
OR 70
3/1
Diamondinthedark silks

Melissa Cooke

3yo Filly · 9-11

Harry Angel - Safe House (Exceed And Excel)

Billy Loughnane70%1/4D M Loughnane60%
218263
6.0Going 8.0
Tongue strap

C&D novice winner on second start last November. Has built up an all or nothing profile this season, her best efforts on the turf rather than all-weather and needs to back up her recent third at Leicester. Others more persuasive.

Class Advantage

3/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a3/1129/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a4/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/06 · mark par4/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par26/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par21/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 20y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 86%3/11Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%4/06Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 29%26/08Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 82%21/09
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.2%Ahead 2/4
5
3
OR 67
14/1
Style King silks

Strawberry Fields Stud

4yo Gelding · 9-9

Dandy Man - Uae Queen (Oasis Dream)

Harry Davies60%1/1C A Dwyer60%
312210
6.0
Cheek pieces

Had a productive July/August making it 2 wins from 4 starts, including once over C&D. Ran poorly over 5f at Newcastle last time but has to be respected back up in trip at this track.

Class Advantage

28/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/06 · mark par28/066/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par4/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par17/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par27/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par19/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 20y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 50%28/06Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 89%4/08Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 89%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%27/08Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%19/09
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength41%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.4%Ahead 2/4
8
6
OR 65
14/1
Pull The Rug silks

The Maximus Syndicate

3yo Filly · 9-6

Mehmas - Bungee Jump (Canford Cliffs)

Ray Dawson60%0/1G Harris70%
942405
4.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Looked unlucky not to win when second at Chepstow in August and has subsequently shaped better than the result on 2 of her last 3 starts, hampered leaving stalls when fifth at Bath last time. May need the rub of the green but is respected from this mark with cheekpieces added.

Class Advantage

16/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below16/06 · mark par16/0627/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par6/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par21/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par11/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par29/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/09 · mark par29/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 20y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 9 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 20%16/06Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 40%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 67%6/08Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 40%Pos 10 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 10 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 18%11/09Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 56%29/09
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.6%Ahead 2/4
9
7
OR 62
7/1
No Return silks

Owners Group 152

4yo Gelding · 9-4

Kodiac - Water Hole (Oasis Dream)

Rob HornbyC Johnston70%
445573
4.0Class ↓4
1st Visor +2

Headstrong sort who won twice over 6f in Ireland last spring but is now eleven runs without a win since joining this yard. 15/8, caught wide when third of 5 in handicap at Lingfield (5f, AW) last month. Is well treated at present and the first-time visor could spark a revival.

Class Advantage

22/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/04 · mark par22/0418/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par10/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par4/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par17/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par1/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength40%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 20y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 25%22/04Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 20%10/06Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 25%17/08Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 50%1/09
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -13.9%Ahead 1/4
4
9
OR 70
8/1
Hayynah silks

Ahmad Ziad Galadari

3yo Filly · 9-11

Showcasing - Platinum Pearl (Shamardal)

Harry Vigors60%0/1−5lbOllie Sangster60%
170506
2.0Class ↓4
Visor

Put experience to good use to get off the mark in Southwell novice (5f) in February but has failed to make a significant impact in handicaps since despite a falling mark. Market may provide clues.

Class Advantage

24/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/02 · mark par24/0211/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/04 · mark par30/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below30/05 · mark par15/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par13/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/07 · mark par18/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 20y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%24/02Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 10%30/05Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 18%13/07Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 44%18/09
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +33.2%Ahead 4/4
3
4
OR 70
6/1
Leonie silks

J Palmer-Brown & Partner 2

3yo Filly · 9-11

Ubettabelieveit - Ayresome Angel (Captain Gerrard)

Alfie Redman60%0/1−7lbA M Balding70%
43316
5.0Going 8.0
Tongue strap

Unexposed filly who improved to win on handicap debut at Kempton in April. Reportedly made a noise when last of 6 over C&D 8 days later. Unraced since but has had a breathing operation and market best guide on return.

Class Advantage

2/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/0317/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a30/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par8/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par8/05projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength47%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 20y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 40%2/03Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%17/03Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%14/04Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%30/04Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 0%8/05
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -20.0%Ahead 2/4
6
5
OR 67
25/1
Sargent Dennis silks

Hodcott Downs Racing

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Invincible Army - Gabridan (Kyllachy)

David Probert70%J Channon70%
217840
4.0Going 8.0
1st Visor +2

Made good progress in the spring and opened his account in a 6f Windsor novice in May. Hasn't built on that in 4 handicap outings and can only be watched at present. The visor goes on for the first time.

Class Advantage

4/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/0511/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a23/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/07 · mark par18/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below18/08 · mark par29/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par9/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength46%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 20y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 89%4/05Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 7 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 14%23/07Pos 8 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 8 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 63%29/08Pos 12 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 15%9/09
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -18.6%Ahead 2/4
1
8
OR 70
16/1
Holbache silks

Last Day Racing Partnership

8yo Gelding · 9-12

Coach House - By Rights (Byron)

Tom Kiely-Marshall60%4/16Miss J A Camacho60%
371589
3.0
Cheek pieces

Standout effort this season when winning veterans' event at Catterick in May. Went freely to post and subsequently ran poorly at Beverley (5f, heavy) last time. Needs to bounce back.

Class Advantage

21/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/10 · mark par21/106/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/01 · mark par30/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par20/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par13/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/08 · mark par30/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 20y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 71%21/10Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 100%30/05Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 22%13/08Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 27%30/08
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength22%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.1%Ahead 3/4
10
10
OR 57
16/1
Thanks Dad silks

Amphitheatre Racing Limited

6yo Gelding · 8-13

Twilight Son - Never A Quarrel (Acclamation)

K T O'Neill60%0/8S Dixon80%
008618
4.0Class ↓3
Tongue strap1st Visor +2

Bounced back to form when scoring on first start in classified company at Yarmouth (6f) in August. Failed by a long chalk to back that up in a Brighton handicap next time. This looks tougher up in grade.

Class Advantage

18/12 · C6 · finish vs mark below18/12 · mark par18/1216/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par29/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par27/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par14/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par24/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par24/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 20y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 18%18/12Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 42%29/05Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%14/08Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 13%24/08
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.6%Ahead 2/4