16:08 · Hexham

Lee 'Bazza' Jenkinson Memorial Handicap Chase

3m 41yGoing TBCClass 54YO plusTURFHandicap8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 100
7/2
Super Citizen silks

Mrs L Hughes

12yo Gelding · 12-0

Multiplex - Kallithea (Dr Fong)

B S Hughes60%2/13Lucinda Hughes60%
414323
7.0
Cheek pieces

Held his form well after opening his account for the season at Carlisle (3¼m) in November, but he's his yard's first runner in 6 months, so fitness could be an issue (well held on last autumn's comeback run).

Class Advantage

8/10 · C5 · finish vs mark below8/10 · mark par8/1030/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/11 · mark par29/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/12 · mark par3/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/02 · mark par8/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/03 · mark par4/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/04 · mark par4/04projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength55%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 41y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 0%8/10Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 40%29/12Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 85%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 83%8/03Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 67%4/04
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.4%Ahead 3/4
4
3
OR 83
6/1
Lights Are Green silks

Holland And Todd

9yo Gelding · 10-11

Califet - Katjakem (Old Vic)

Jonathon Bewley3/17G Bewley
4PP3P4
6.0

Unreliable type but produced one of his better efforts when fourth of 10 in handicap chase at Cartmel (25f, good) in July, looking in control briefly after kicking on home turn but headed final 100 yds. Not sure to be in the same form.

Class Advantage

26/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/10 · mark par26/108/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below8/11 · mark par3/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/05 · mark par19/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/07 · mark par23/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par18/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 41y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 20%26/10Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 44%3/05Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 75%23/05Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%18/07
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +43.7%Ahead 4/4
5
Value2
OR 82
8/1
Uncle Al silks

Miss J I Bedi

7yo Gelding · 10-10

Leading Light - Milling Road (Dushyantor)

Paul O'Brien60%1/3J Bedi60%
P163U2
6.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Prone to jumping errors but avoided mistakes when taking advantage of his reduced mark in 4-runner contest at Huntingdon (3m) in May and returned to a similar level when second of 5 at Sedgefield (3¼m)18 days ago. Strikes as the type to be suited by this track and merits consideration.

Class Advantage

25/01 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/01 · mark par25/0113/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/03 · mark par25/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par24/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par14/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 41y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%25/01Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%25/05Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 62%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 60%15/08Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 75%14/09
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +28.5%Ahead 3/4
7
4
OR 72
16/1
Croagh Patrick silks

Mr R J Hewitt

11yo Gelding · 10-2

Mountain High - Benedicta Rose (Beneficial)

William Maggs60%0/1−3lbG Boanas60%
P72P55
4.0Going 8.0
Blinkers

Veteran who proved he retains ability on second start for this yard when runner-up over C&D in June but has run poorly all 3 starts since.

Class Advantage

15/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/12 · mark par15/123/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/02 · mark par23/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par13/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par14/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength27%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 41y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%15/12Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 25%23/05Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%28/08Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%14/09
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength56%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +35.4%Ahead 3/4
8
6
OR 72
3/1
Stay Hopeful silks

Del Boy Partnership

6yo Gelding · 10-2

Walk In The Park - J'espere (Oscar)

S Bowen80%C Collins60%
994673
4.0
Visor

Irish point winner who produced his best effort to date under Rules when third of 8 in handicap chase at Worcester (23f, good) in July, despite doing too much too soon in a first-time visor. Subsequently sold out of Henry Oliver's yard for £8,500 and looks interesting with Sean Bowen booked.

Class Advantage

19/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/1227/12 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par28/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par6/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par16/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par16/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 41y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 20%19/12Pos 9 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 73%16/05Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 40%6/06Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 71%16/07
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength84%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.8%Ahead 1/4
3
Market Fav7
OR 83
2/1
Deadheat silks

Mr Sean McParlan

13yo Gelding · 10-11

Buck's Boum - Eaton Lass (Definite Article)

Mr N McParlan2/13−3lbS McParlan60%
P79P03
3.0Class ↓4
Cheek pieces

Veteran who has been very lightly raced in recent seasons and made his first impact for a while fitted with headgear when third at Kilbeggan (3¼m, good to soft) 6 weeks ago. 5 lb higher on return to British soil but still enters the reckoning.

Class Advantage

11/09 · C11 · finish vs mark below11/09 · mark par11/0911/10 · C11 · finish vs mark below11/10 · mark par23/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/06 · mark par23/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/04 · mark par3/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/07 · mark par21/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 41y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 29%11/09Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 25%23/06Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 25%3/07Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 85%21/08
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +38.7%Ahead 4/4
6
5
OR 74
33/1
Ballydangan silks

Mr H Burns

9yo Gelding · 10-2

Saddler Maker - She's Our Banker (Hawk Wing)

Peter Kavanagh2/9H Burns
14P4P7
5.0

Is now operating from a 4 lb lower than when winning last year's renewal but has shaped with little recent encouragement, backing out of things concerningly quickly at Perth on most recent outing.

Class Advantage

14/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par14/063/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par3/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/10 · mark par11/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/10 · mark par19/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/02 · mark par15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 41y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%14/06Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%3/10Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 57%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 25%19/02Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%15/08
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.7%Ahead 1/4