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15:25 · Wolverhampton

Nuvo Audit Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m 4f 51yGoing TBCClass 43YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 85
11/2
Nolton Cross silks

Middleham Park Racing Xcii

Nolton Cross

7yo Gelding · 10-2

Dark Angel - Pandora's Box (Galileo)

David Probert70%0/3H Palmer60%
895255
5.0

Goes well at this track and far from disgraced when fifth of 10 at Southwell 10 days ago. Made all to defy 4 lb higher mark at this track in February and could go well if reverting to those tactics in this small field.

Class Advantage

2/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par2/0517/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par20/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par10/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par25/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par22/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/09 · mark par22/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength54%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 51y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%2/05Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%20/06Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 33%25/07Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 56%22/09
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.8%Ahead 2/4
4
2
OR 82
9/2
Last Verse silks

Trevor And Ruth Milner

Last Verse

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Camelot - After (Danehill Dancer)

P Cosgrave60%1/2J Parr60%
813912
6.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Won easily on all-weather debut over 13f at Lingfield in August and then bumped into a thriving rival when second of 4 over 1¾m at this track 25 days ago. Should have no problem dropping back to this trip and can go well again.

Class Advantage

18/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below18/06 · mark par18/063/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par29/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par8/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par22/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par7/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 51y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 13%18/06Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 33%29/07Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%22/08Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%7/09
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.4%Ahead 2/4
5
Market Fav3
OR 79
15/8
Quiet Summer silks

Green Team Racing

Quiet Summer

3yo Colt · 9-4

Isfahan - Quiana (Monsun)

Daniel Muscutt70%0/3A M Balding60%
423
5.0

By far the least exposed of these and showed fairly useful from last 2 starts, including when third of 4 over 1¼m at Newcastle 29 days ago. Now tackles handicaps back up in trip and is in the right hands to win races so needs taking seriously.

Class Advantage

25/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/0419/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a19/083/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength60%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 51y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%25/04Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 91%19/08Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 33%3/09
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength33%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.7%Ahead 1/3
2
4
OR 84
11/2
Model Yuko silks

Stay Foolish

Model Yuko

4yo Filly · 10-1

Al Kazeem - Dream Wild (Oasis Dream)

Ray Dawson60%0/2R Varian70%
313876
4.0Going 8.0Class ↓3
1st Hood +1

Not kicked on this year having continued to race freely, though was likely out of depth in listed company last time. Now returns to the scene of her win faced with more realistic company so could fare better, but longer trip poses questions.

Class Advantage

27/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a27/0516/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a30/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par4/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par27/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par26/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par26/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength67%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 51y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 78%27/05Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 85%30/07Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 13%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 14%27/06Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%26/07
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength41%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.3%Ahead 1/4
3
5
OR 84
11/4
Elsass silks

Mr Markus Graff & Partner

Elsass

4yo Gelding · 10-1

Sottsass - Elle Memory (Maxios)

Rob Hornby1/2C Johnston
037737
4.0

Creditable third of 11 in handicap over this trip on all-weather at Kempton 27 days ago and, though he flopped on turf next time, his record on this surface demands respect and he could well bounce back (all-weather form figures 1213).

Class Advantage

4/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par4/0718/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par24/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par21/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par5/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par17/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength66%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 51y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 18%4/07Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 25%24/07Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 80%5/09Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 40%17/09
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.8%Ahead 2/4