16:25 · Wolverhampton

bet365 Fillies' Handicap

1m 142yGoing TBCClass 43YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 86
5/1
Bintaziza silks

Salhia Stud Limited

3yo Filly · 9-11

Study Of Man - Catalan (Duke Of Marmalade)

Ray Dawson60%2/4R Varian60%
1140
6.0Class ↓2

Won first 2 starts in maiden/minor event earlier this year and found improvement when fourth on handicap debut at Thirsk (1m) in May. Disappointed when last seen at Royal Ascot in June but remains low mileage.

Class Advantage

20/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a20/045/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a5/0531/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above31/05 · mark par31/0519/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par19/06projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 142y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%20/04Pos 1 · SP 1/8 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 1/8 | Actual: 100%5/05Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 70%31/05Pos 19 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 19 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 38%19/06
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 3-3 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.6%Ahead 1/4
3
2
OR 77
7/2
Great Mates silks

Mrs Anita Nicol

4yo Filly · 9-6

Massaat - Kune Kune (Sir Percy)

Darragh Keenan60%1/3M Botti
246142
7.0Going 8.0
Hood

C&D winner who posted a personal best when good second of 8 in handicap (10/3) at Southwell (1m) 29 days ago. Just 1 lb higher now and ought to go well again.

Class Advantage

9/01 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/01 · mark par9/0111/02 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/02 · mark par19/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par2/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par21/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par3/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 142y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 80%9/01Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 40%Pos 6 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 6 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 38%19/06Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 25%21/07Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 86%3/09
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength55%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -22.9%Ahead 2/4
2
Market Fav3
OR 84
7/4
Enchanted Queen silks

Highview Bloodstock Ltd

3yo Filly · 9-9

Ghaiyyath - Morgan Le Faye (Shamardal)

Billy Loughnane70%1/2G Boughey
2321
8.0Going 8.0

Placed all 3 starts as a juvenile for Charlie Appleby and found improvement, on debut for new yard, when winning 7-runner novice (1/2) at Kempton (7f) 23 days ago. Should have more to offer on handicap debut.

Class Advantage

22/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a22/0812/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a12/092/10 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a2/109/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength3%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 142y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 89%22/08Pos 3 · SP 4/7 | Expected: 97%Pos 3 · SP 4/7 | Actual: 67%12/09Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 83%2/10Pos 1 · SP 1/2 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 1/2 | Actual: 100%9/09
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength91%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.3%Ahead 1/4
4
4
OR 81
5/1
Darzah silks

The Thoroughbred Racing Corporation Lt

3yo Filly · 9-6

Dubawi - Stylistique (Dansili)

Harry Davies60%W J Haggas
181527
5.0Class ↓2

Dual 1m winner earlier this year. Rather in and out since but longer trip/soft ground may have been against her at Ayr latest and can't be ruled out on tapeta debut.

Class Advantage

13/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a13/0528/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above28/05 · mark par25/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par21/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below21/07 · mark par16/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par17/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 142y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 8/15 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Actual: 100%13/05Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 36%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%25/06Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 75%16/08Pos 7 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 7 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 0%17/09
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 3-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -41.4%Ahead 1/4
5
5
OR 78
9/2
Foxy Night silks

Newtown Anner Stud Farm

3yo Filly · 9-3

Night Of Thunder - Foxy Loxy (Rock Of Gibraltar)

Mikey Sheehy0/1J Butler70%
332337
5.0Going 8.0
1st Blinkers +3

Rare poor effort at Newcastle last month but had found improvement when third on Hamilton handicap debut previously. Now tried in first-time blinkers.

Class Advantage

8/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a8/0623/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a23/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par31/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par21/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par5/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 142y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 60%8/06Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 91%23/07Pos 3 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 78%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 75%21/08Pos 7 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 7 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 25%5/09
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength22%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -19.0%Ahead 0/4