12:38 · Hexham

David Clarke Memorial 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m 48yGoing TBCClass 44YO plusTURF7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
Market Fav2
10/11
Dark Tide Rising silks

Mr T R George

4yo Gelding · 10-13

Affinisea - Holly Hawk (Dubai Destination)

Kielan Woods60%1/1T R George
PF431
7.0

Fourth in an Irish point. Much improved on second bumper run when a wide-margin winner of 9-runner event at Worcester (2m, good) 4 weeks ago, though left clear at start and never challenged. Yard is going very well so much respected now starting out in this sphere.

Class Advantage

15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a15/084/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a4/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 48y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 33%15/08Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%4/09
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.1%Ahead 1/2
3
Top Pick1
OR 107
2/1
Ride Like A Girl silks

Awr Ltd Sperling Snowden Morley & Stac

5yo Mare · 11-0

Beaumec De Houelle - Arizona Air (Hurricane Run)

G Sheehan60%2/8Jamie Snowden60%
344122
7.0Going 10.0
Tongue strap

Fair bumper winner. Had a breathing operation before opening her hurdles account in 2m handicap at Huntingdon in May. Runner-up in 2m novice events at Uttoxeter and Bangor since. Holds leading form claims.

Class Advantage

23/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a23/0913/10 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a25/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/11 · mark par19/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/05 · mark par7/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below7/07 · mark par8/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 48y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 71%23/09Pos 4 · SP 4/9 | Expected: 98%Pos 4 · SP 4/9 | Actual: 57%Pos 4 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 4 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 57%25/11Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 89%7/07Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 86%8/09
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength89%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.6%Ahead 3/4
2
4
20/1
Ebchester silks

Ownaracehorse & Susan Corbett

5yo Gelding · 11-0

Ocovango - Ruby Mac (Flemensfirth)

Nathan Moscrop60%0/2S Corbett
44
5.0

Ocovango gelding has finished fourth in bumpers at Kelso and here in early summer. Goes hurdling now after a break and needs to step forward in all likelihood.

Class Advantage

24/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a24/0513/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a13/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 48y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 40%24/05Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 57%13/06
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +27.5%Ahead 2/2
7
3
OR 100
8/1
Rhythm Of Life silks

Mrs G Morgan

5yo Mare · 10-7

Bathyrhon - Rime De Boitron (My Risk)

Mr Harry O'Dwyer−7lbT R George70%
713344
3.0
Cheek piecesTongue strap

Failed to go on after a promising start over hurdles for Gordon Elliott last season. Off 12 months (first-time tongue tie) when a well-held fourth of 6 for new stable in novice at Plumpton (21f, good to firm) 12 days ago. Cheekpieces go back on now with something to prove.

Class Advantage

1/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a1/0310/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/05 · mark par9/10 · C10 · finish vs mark below9/10 · mark par20/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below20/09 · mark par20/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲4
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 48y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 64%1/03Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 70%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 60%15/05Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%9/10Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 40%20/09
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.4%Ahead 1/4
4
6
14/1
Whin Cover silks

Mrs Susan E Mason

5yo Gelding · 11-0

Sogann - Poppy Day (Bal Harbour)

C O'Farrell60%0/1John Dawson
755
2.0

Looked in need of the experience in 2 bumpers last year for Paul Collins. Off 14 months (had breathing operation) before taking a step forward for new yard with fifth of 10 in bumper at Worcester (2m, good) 40 days ago, despite going in snatches. No forlorn hope on his hurdles debut.

Class Advantage

25/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a25/058/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a8/0723/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a23/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 48y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 33%25/05Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 50%8/07Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 56%23/08
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength95%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +46.3%Ahead 3/3
6
5
20/1
Lecanvey Lady silks

Mr David Tomlinson

5yo Mare · 10-7

Shirocco - Dollar D'estruval (Milan)

Callum BewleyM Todhunter
P6
2.0

€3,000 3-y-o, £3,000 5-y-o, Shirocco mare. Half-sister to fairly useful 23f hurdle winner Chigorin and fairly useful hurdler/chaser Le Coq Hardi. Unplaced in Irish points. Market can guide now going hurdling.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish6th of 717% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength0%
1
7
100/1
Credit Union silks

Miss J I Bedi

5yo Gelding · 11-0

Kodi Bear - Insieme (Barathea)

Conor Rabbitt0/1J Bedi
00006
2.0
Hood

Little promise shown in a trio of bumpers (trained by Rebecca Menzies first 2 starts) and 2 runs over hurdles, tried in a hood at Sedgefield (2½m, firm) last time.

Class Advantage

11/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a11/1215/01 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a11/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a15/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a28/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a28/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 48y · 60%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 10%11/12Pos 14 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 7%15/01Pos 10 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 0%11/04Pos 10 · SP 400/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 400/1 | Actual: 0%15/08Pos 6 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 29%28/08
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength18%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.9%Ahead 2/4