14:23 · Hexham

El Tel's 61 Racecourse's & Done Handicap Hurdle

2m 4f 28yGoing TBCClass 43YO plusTURFHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Top Pick1
OR 110
7/1
Glory And Honour silks

Ursa Ellerby & Partner

10yo Gelding · 12-0

Elusive Pimpernel - On Khee (Sakhee)

Rebecca Hitchen60%0/2−7lbS England60%
714723
6.0Going 8.0
Cheek piecesTongue strap

Veteran who returned to winning ways in small-field handicap here (2m) in June. Partnered by this 10-lb claimer when pipped in a similar event at Sedgefield before beaten 10½ lengths in a better event there latest. Weighted to at least be competitive back down in grade.

Class Advantage

6/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below6/05 · mark par6/056/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par21/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par18/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par28/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par9/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 28y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 0%6/05Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 50%21/06Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 45%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 80%28/08Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 50%9/09
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength78%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.7%Ahead 2/4
4
Market Fav3
OR 102
5/2
Ballynoe Boy silks

Fine Claret Racing

6yo Gelding · 11-6

Affinisea - Ballerina Queen (Be My Native)

Danny McMenamin70%2/10N G Richards70%
437411
7.0

In good hands and has got his act together over hurdles in recent starts, following up Market Rasen success in decisive fashion at Bangor (2½m) last time. The winner has franked that form since, though likely requires another career best to make it a hat-trick.

Class Advantage

28/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/11 · mark par28/1126/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below26/12 · mark par13/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par28/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par4/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 28y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 73%28/11Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 78%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 45%13/06Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%15/08Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%4/09
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.6%Ahead 3/4
3
2
OR 104
16/1
Dinons silks

Brian Ellison Racing Club

13yo Gelding · 11-8

Balko - Beni Abbes (Saint Des Saints)

Joshua Thompson60%0/5B Ellison60%
23U387
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

Veteran C&D winner who has finished down the field at Cartmel/Stratford since his reappearance third here in June. May fare better away from those speed-favouring tracks, for all it's still hard to be confident he can capitalise on a tumbling mark.

Class Advantage

11/10 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/10 · mark par11/1014/11 · C4 · finish vs mark below14/11 · mark par29/11 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/11 · mark par6/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par18/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par5/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 28y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 50%11/10Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 60%29/11Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 42%18/07Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 14%5/09
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength20%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.7%Ahead 2/4
1
5
OR 111
3/1
Coded Welder silks

Del Boy Partnership

7yo Gelding · 12-1

Lucky Speed - Loreley (Oscar)

S Bowen80%C Collins60%
024853
4.0Going 8.0
Tongue strap

Strong in the betting all 5 runs for current yard this season. Ran up to his best when 3¾-length third behind a less-exposed pair in Downpatrick maiden latest (2¾m). Shrewd Irish yard has had only one previous Hexham runner (3rd in 2022/23). Has to be on the shortlist with Sean Bowen booked.

Class Advantage

27/12 · C11 · finish vs mark below27/12 · mark par27/1210/05 · C11 · finish vs mark below10/05 · mark par5/06 · C11 · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par29/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par13/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a31/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲6
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 28y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 10%27/12Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 93%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 80%5/06Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 61%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 50%13/08Pos 3 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 3 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 75%31/08
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -20.0%Ahead 0/4
6
4
OR 100
8/1
Hopeless Dancer silks

Mr Paul Davies

5yo Gelding · 11-4

Dragon Dancer - Caerlonore (Traditionally)

Harry Reed60%T Reed
32232
7.0Going 8.0

Lightly-raced 5-y-o who placed in all 3 bumper starts this time last year. Claimed out of Twiston-Davies stable having been turned over in a Ludlow claimer second time up over hurdles in December. Improvement needed on handicap/stable debut.

Class Advantage

15/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a15/091/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a28/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a6/11 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/12 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a3/12projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 28y · 20%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 78%15/09Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 83%1/10Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 88%28/10Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 0%6/11Pos 2 · SP 4/11 | Expected: 98%Pos 2 · SP 4/11 | Actual: 80%3/12
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength15%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -20.5%Ahead 1/4
10
10
OR 92
14/1
Les's Legacy silks

Tweed Valley Racing & Susan Corbett

9yo Gelding · 10-10

Kutub - Morning With Ivan (Ivan Denisovich)

Nathan Moscrop60%2/15S Corbett70%
080485
4.0
Cheek piecesTongue strap

Four-time course winner. Fallen long way in the weights since his most recent (and fortunate) success in a small-field C&D event last June. Ran creditably with usual headgear refitted when 8¼-length fifth at Perth (3m) latest. Lurking on a potentially dangerous mark on return from 13 weeks away.

Class Advantage

21/01 · C4 · finish vs mark below21/01 · mark par21/0119/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/02 · mark par25/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/03 · mark par24/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par13/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par2/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below2/07 · mark par2/07projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 28y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 36%21/01Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 10 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 10 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 31%25/03Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 22%13/06Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 56%2/07
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.4%Ahead 2/4
8
7
OR 98
10/1
De Deli Counter silks

Ursa Major Racing Ltd & Partner

5yo Gelding · 11-2

Dartmouth - Dedrunknmunky (Rashar)

Jamie Hamilton70%1/3M Walford
U25316
5.0Going 8.0

Dictated/resumed progress to get off the mark in a change of headgear at Market Rasen in April. That form didn't work out, and he shaped as though he'd had enough for the season at the same track the following month. Something to find at the weights on return.

Class Advantage

30/10 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a30/101/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/02 · mark par13/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/02 · mark par19/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/03 · mark par5/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/04 · mark par8/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par8/05projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 28y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 38%30/10Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 0%13/02Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%5/04Pos 6 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 6 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 17%8/05
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength16%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -19.3%Ahead 2/4
7
9
OR 100
10/1
Final Straw silks

Coniston Old Men Syndicate

6yo Gelding · 11-4

Affinisea - Pauls First (Morozov)

Ryan Mania60%M Todhunter
464116
6.0

Improved for headgear/switch to handicaps when landing back-to-back 3m handicaps at Kempton/Plumpton in good style. Run of good form came to a halt on hat-trick bid at Wincanton in December. Hardly a positive he was sold for only £10,000 out of Nicky Henderson's yard given his profile, though.

Class Advantage

9/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a9/0625/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a7/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a10/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/11 · mark par17/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/11 · mark par4/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/12 · mark par4/12projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 28y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 57%9/06Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 57%7/09Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 100%17/11Pos 6 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 6 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 17%4/12
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength19%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -14.2%Ahead 2/4
9
6
OR 95
20/1
Well Educated silks

Annett And Mandle

10yo Gelding · 10-13

Getaway - Collegeofknowledge (Presenting)

Jonathon Bewley6/35G Bewley
P22240
6.0

Veteran/course regular who finished runner-up 3 times here earlier in the year, nearly snapping a long losing run (2m) in early-June. Should find this a more suitable test than at Cartmel last time, however, he isn't one to be making too many excuses for (has been reluctant to start).

Class Advantage

24/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below24/09 · mark par24/0919/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above19/05 · mark par6/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par13/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par21/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par18/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 28y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 11 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 9%24/09Pos 2 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 80%6/06Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 86%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 25%21/06Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 10%18/07
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.7%Ahead 2/4
5
8
OR 101
12/1
Kool Raoul silks

The County Set

6yo Gelding · 11-5

Great Pretender - Douma Desbois (Smadoun)

Gregor Walkingshaw0/4−10lbL Russell & M Scudamore
235785
3.0

Underlined a positive start over hurdles when runner-up in C&D maiden last November. Hasn't gone on as expected in handicaps, well held in first-time cheekpieces (now removed) here in April. Now 7 lb lower than his opening mark, for yard who've fired in a couple of reappearance winners of late.

Class Advantage

7/11 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a7/1110/12 · C4 · finish vs mark below10/12 · mark par1/01 · C4 · finish vs mark below1/01 · mark par29/01 · C4 · finish vs mark below29/01 · mark par20/03 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/03 · mark par13/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/04 · mark par13/04projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 28y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 90%7/11Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 43%1/01Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 22%20/03Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%13/04
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength15%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -19.1%Ahead 0/4