17:00 · Dundalk

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Legacy Stakes (Listed)

5fStandardClass 12YO onlyPOLYTRACK13 runners
Ordered by projected finish
12
Top Pick1
OR 95
9/2
Shimmering Sun silks

Shapoor Mistry

2yo Filly · 9-0

Havana Grey - Stubble Field (Adaay)

Ben Coen70%Harry Eustace
17202
5.0Class ↓0

Second to Big Negotiator over 5f at Naas in July before flopping at York (went amiss) in August. Bounced back with a good second of 8 at Kempton 27 days ago on all-weather debut in a Group 3 and now drops back in trip with place claims.

Class Advantage

23/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a23/0517/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par20/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par5/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 20%Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%23/05Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 77%17/06Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 88%22/07Pos 14 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 14 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 19%20/08Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 86%5/09
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +35.6%Ahead 3/4
5
Market Fav4
OR 101
11/4
Big Negotiator silks

Bond Thoroughbred Limited

2yo Filly · 9-3

Havana Grey - Star Spirit (Deep Impact)

Billy Lee60%1/5P Twomey60%
104101
6.0Class ↓0
Visor

Thriving since the visor went on, winning listed races over 5f at Naas in July and Fairyhouse over 6f 11 days ago. Soft ground accounted for her blip at York in between and she's one to view very positively switched to all-weather and dropped back to 5f.

Class Advantage

12/06 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a12/0617/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par22/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par20/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par21/09 · C1 · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 100%12/06Pos 15 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 46%Pos 4 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 4 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 67%4/07Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 38%20/08Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%21/09
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.9%Ahead 3/4
7
2
OR 90
14/1
Brazilian Diva silks

Diego Dias

2yo Filly · 9-0

Earthlight - Sapphire Diva (Zebedee)

Luke McAteerD Dias
751266
4.0

Won a maiden at Naas in June before good second at same track but has found it tougher in listed/Group company last 2 starts and may again prove vulnerable now returning to all-weather.

Class Advantage

24/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/0512/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a24/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par29/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par16/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par16/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 0%24/05Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 100%24/06Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 50%29/07Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 44%16/08
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +48.5%Ahead 3/4
1
3
OR 96
6/1
Grayrobin silks

Miss Kate McGivern

2yo Colt · 9-5

Havana Grey - Pretty Shiftwell (Equiano)

Gavin RyanMiss K McGivern
81125
5.0

Won twice in July and came second in weakish listed race at the Curragh in August but had limitations exposed when fifth of 5 in a Group 3 at Longchamp 29 days ago. Bit more required making all-weather debut.

Class Advantage

31/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a31/052/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a24/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a16/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par3/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲3
Strength19%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 30%31/05Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%2/07Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%24/07Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 89%16/08Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 0%3/09
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.3%Ahead 3/4
3
8
OR 93
8/1
Star Prospect silks

John C Oxley

2yo Colt · 9-5

Starman - Swiss Kiss (Dansili)

J M Sheridan60%1/1J P O'Brien70%
130374
4.0Class ↓0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Impressive winner of Curragh maiden (heavy) in April but not much progress since, running about as well as could be expected when fourth of 10 in listed company last time. Should again prove vulnerable for win purposes making all-weather debut in this company.

Class Advantage

19/04 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a19/0417/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a20/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a3/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par16/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par16/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲1
Strength19%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%19/04Pos 3 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 3 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 50%Pos 13 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 13 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 40%20/06Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 40%3/08Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 67%16/08
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength95%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.4%Ahead 2/4
8
5
OR 94
7/1
Controlla silks

Amo Racing Limited

2yo Filly · 9-0

Night Of Thunder - Elshaadin (Dalakhani)

Rowan Scott60%Robson Aguiar
20561
4.0Class ↓1

Best effort when second in Group 3 at Naas on debut and didn't need to be near that level when won a 13-runner maiden at the Curragh over 6f 6 days ago, giving the impression that a drop down to 5f will suit. Needs something more like debut form on all-weather bow.

Class Advantage

17/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/0517/06 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a27/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/09 · mark par26/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above26/09 · mark par26/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 5f · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 80%17/05Pos 14 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 14 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 46%17/06Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 20%27/06Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%13/09Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%26/09
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength41%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -15.3%Ahead 1/4
2
6
OR 90
12/1
Hanney Boy silks

Miss Alison Jones

2yo Colt · 9-5

Kodi Bear - Colour Blue (Holy Roman Emperor)

Liam Keniry1/6Miss E McCutcheon60%
233172
5.0
Cheek pieces

Off the mark in a Cork maiden in July before seventh of 11 in listed company at York in August, then travelled well when second of 5 in minor event over C&D 14 days ago. Progress needed back in listed grade.

Class Advantage

19/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/057/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par24/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par22/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par18/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 13
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲5
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 17%Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 88%19/05Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 78%4/07Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 40%22/08Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%18/09
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 2-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength41%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +30.1%Ahead 3/4
10
11
8/1
Magical Moonlight silks

Bayview Syndicate

2yo Filly · 9-0

Invincible Army - Lil Grey (Starspangledbanner)

Jamie Powell0/1J P Murtagh
61
6.0

Sixth of 8 on debut in May before impressively winning her maiden at Down Royal in June, making the running and keeping on well. Steps up to listed class now and makes her all-weather bow after 105 days off so could figure if fit and firing.

Class Advantage

28/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a28/0519/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/06projClass-projected finish: 11th of 13
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲7
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 29%28/05Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%19/06
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.0%Ahead 2/2
11
7
OR 84
20/1
Matriarchal silks

J Halley

2yo Filly · 9-0

Sioux Nation - Edwinstowe (Shamardal)

Wayne Lordan60%J Halley90%
43157
3.0
1st Hood +11st Tongue Strap +2

Off the mark at Navan in May but found out when down field in listed company at Naas last time. Now tries first-time hood and tongue strap but is easily overlooked.

Class Advantage

10/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a10/043/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a30/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a4/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par4/07projClass-projected finish: 9th of 13
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲5
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 20%Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 40%10/04Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 78%3/05Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%16/05Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 43%30/05Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 33%4/07
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.4%Ahead 2/4
9
9
OR 84
16/1
Hidden Gift silks

Wathnan Racing

2yo Filly · 9-0

Sioux Nation - Pixel Power (Dream Ahead)

O J Orr60%0/3R A Fahey80%
2562
4.0

Second of 9 in a novice at Beverley 16 days ago, failing to justify favouritism though did little wrong against a useful prospect. Makes all-weather debut stepping up in grade and needs to show a lot more.

Class Advantage

3/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a3/0619/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/0629/07 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a29/0716/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength19%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 83%3/06Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 83%19/06Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 38%29/07Pos 2 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 88%16/09
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 3-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.0%Ahead 1/4
13
12
OR 80
50/1
Southern Boulevard silks

Southern Boulevard Partnership

2yo Filly · 9-0

No Nay Never - Sans Equivoque (Stormy River)

Gary Carroll60%0/2G M Lyons
5322
4.0

Placed in her last 3 starts in maidens, most recently second of 8 at Navan in August. Lot more required hiked in grade on all-weather debut.

Class Advantage

4/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/0719/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/0714/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a14/0827/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 12th of 13
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲7
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 33%4/07Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 80%19/07Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 93%14/08Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 86%27/08
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength13%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.0%Ahead 1/4
4
10
OR 88
25/1
Walk On Harry silks

Andy Robertson

2yo Colt · 9-5

Earthlight - Omanome (Acclamation)

Robbie ColganH De Bromhead80%
8315
3.0
Tongue strap

Off the mark in a maiden at Cork in August but struggled when last of 5 at this track last time and looks out of depth stepping into listed company.

Class Advantage

26/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a26/0624/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a24/0714/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a14/0818/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 13
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲8
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 25%Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 36%26/06Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 78%24/07Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%14/08Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 0%18/09
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.7%Ahead 2/4
6
13
66/1
Blooming Sally silks

Eoin Shaw

2yo Filly · 9-0

Persian Force - Sharqeyya (Oasis Dream)

Andrew Slattery60%0/2A Slattery
20
3.0

Second on debut over 5f at Cork in July but went backwards when eleventh of 21 at Naas 15 days ago over 6f when didn't settle. Back down in trip here but faces much better company.

Class Advantage

24/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a24/0717/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a17/09projClass-projected finish: 13th of 13
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲7
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 89%24/07Pos 11 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 11 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 50%17/09
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.5%Ahead 1/2