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14:58 · Hexham

Heath RUFC A-Safe Handicap Hurdle

2m 7f 63yGoing TBCClass 54YO plusTURFHandicap5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Top Pick1
OR 99
5/2
Stylish Recruit silks

Mrs Fiona Telfer

Stylish Recruit

8yo Gelding · 11-13

Ask - Stylish Ways (Bach)

P W Wadge60%2/6A M Thomson80%
016521
8.0Class ↓2
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Forward-going type who typically finds plenty for pressure/saves his best for this track. Chased home a fairly useful one here prior to seeing off 3 next-time-out winners to land a C&D handicap in late-June. Can make a bold bid for a fourth course victory if ready to roll.

Class Advantage

22/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below22/03 · mark par22/0313/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/04 · mark par2/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par24/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par6/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par21/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par21/06projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 63y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 10%22/03Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 64%2/05Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 64%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 80%6/06Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%21/06
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.3%Ahead 2/4
1
Market Fav2
OR 100
13/8
Scottish Dancer silks

Mr W T Reed

Scottish Dancer

7yo Gelding · 12-0

Highland Reel - Destalink (Rail Link)

Harry Reed60%1/2T Reed60%
P08031
7.0
Cheek pieces

Has looked as good as ever in both codes for present yard this year (fairly useful on the Flat). Showed a good attitude/relished the step back up in trip when scoring under a positive ride at Bangor (23f) last time. Weighted to go close off 6 lb higher.

Class Advantage

18/10 · C9 · finish vs mark below18/10 · mark par18/102/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par17/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par28/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par17/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par8/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 63y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 20%18/10Pos 1 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 80%17/05Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 20%17/06Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%8/09
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.3%Ahead 1/4
3
4
OR 98
11/4
Frisky Whiskey silks

Joseph Bell, Richard Hepple & Partner

Frisky Whiskey

5yo Mare · 11-12

Doyen - United (Desert King)

B S Hughes60%B Ellison60%
66432
6.0
Tongue strap

Steadily progressive 5-y-o. Chased home a subsequent winner when third on qualifying run at Cartmel. Went one place better behind another next-time-out winner over longer trip on handicap debut there (25f) latest. Relatively unexposed and leading claims to get off the mark with Brian Hughes booked.

Class Advantage

11/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a11/0528/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 63y · 20%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 44%11/05Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 29%28/05Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 67%21/06Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 60%18/07Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 91%29/08
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +42.5%Ahead 4/4
4
3
OR 87
12/1
Killybegs Jet Lady silks

Old Gold Racing 18

Killybegs Jet Lady

9yo Mare · 11-1

Jet Away - Little Twinkle (Fourstars Allstar)

D R Fox70%0/2L Russell & M Scudamore80%
PB21P0
6.0Going 8.0
Tongue strap1st Visor +2

Irish point winner who has proved a better chaser, getting off the mark under Rules in small-field chase at Kelso (good) in May. Disappointed both starts since, looking none too keen on return to hurdling at Cartmel last time.

Class Advantage

27/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par27/0616/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below16/07 · mark par27/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par2/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par24/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/05 · mark par29/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 63y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 80%27/06Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 83%27/08Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 92%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%24/05Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 9%29/08
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.1%Ahead 3/4
5
5
OR 85
10/1
Robert d'Ores silks

Mr Alan Udale

Robert d'Ores

9yo Gelding · 10-13

Great Pretender - Sister Du Berlais (Turgeon)

Jonathon Bewley2/16G Bewley70%
146676
4.0
Cheek piecesTongue strap

Hold-up type whose 3 career wins have come over C&D, including off 5 lb higher mark in this corresponding event last year. Continued out of sorts when down the field (following a second career breathing operation) here in June. Clearly well treated if back on song, though.

Class Advantage

3/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/10 · mark par3/107/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/11 · mark par4/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/04 · mark par18/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/04 · mark par2/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par6/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par6/06projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength46%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 63y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%3/10Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 44%4/04Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 57%2/05Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%6/06
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength29%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.8%Ahead 3/4