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15:33 · Hexham

Davey Liddle Belated Birthday Handicap Chase

2m 4f 15yGoing TBCClass 54YO plusTURFHandicap6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Top Pick1
OR 94
7/4
Soldier In Mayo silks

Red Rum Racing 2

Soldier In Mayo

6yo Gelding · 11-10

Soldier Of Fortune - Whatsthatallabout (Milan)

Theo Gillard70%0/3D McCain Jnr60%
464312
7.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Point winner who found some improvement to make a successful handicap hurdle debut in May 2025, showing a good attitude. Shaped well sent chasing when runner-up to a well-handicapped rival back at Bangor (2½m) on return last month and is open to improvement. Engaged 2.15 Southwell Thursday.

Class Advantage

16/01 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a16/012/02 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par4/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength47%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 15y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 57%16/01Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 50%13/03Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%17/05Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 83%4/09
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.5%Ahead 3/4
4
2
OR 88
5/1
Jack Doyen silks

Wardington Hopefuls

Jack Doyen

10yo Gelding · 11-4

Doyen - Reynella Cross (Torus)

J M Quinlan5/23B I Case60%
1121U5
7.0Going 8.0
Blinkers

Had been one to treat with caution but gained a third win from last 4 starts at Huntingdon (2½m, good) in May. Unseated his rider after 3 months off at Stratford in August and possibly still needed the outing back there (23f, good to firm) last month. Handicapper drops him 2 lb.

Class Advantage

6/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/03 · mark par6/0325/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/03 · mark par4/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/04 · mark par2/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par19/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/05 · mark par5/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength17%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 15y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 50%6/03Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%4/04Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 92%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%19/05Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 56%5/09
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.9%Ahead 4/4
5
Market Fav3
OR 84
6/5
Illogical Logic silks

Mr A Sadik

Illogical Logic

8yo Gelding · 11-0

Coastal Path - Vierge Sainte (Robin Des Champs)

Ellis Collier1/1−5lbD Thompson60%
46P521
7.0
Cheek pieces

Went one better than he had on his final outing for Christian Williams to provide his owner with a second success in 11-runner handicap chase at Cartmel (21f, good) just under 5 weeks ago. Very well treated on his best form from 3 lb higher so could well follow up.

Class Advantage

30/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/01 · mark par30/0116/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below16/03 · mark par9/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/04 · mark par23/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/06 · mark par20/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par29/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 15y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 67%30/01Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 17%9/04Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 80%20/08Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%29/08
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.5%Ahead 2/4
3
4
OR 90
16/1
Kinbara Firstdraft silks

Mr A Kerr Mr L Kerr

Kinbara Firstdraft

7yo Gelding · 11-6

Koropick - Kimberely Bay (Trade Fair)

D R Fox70%0/5L Kerr80%
454695
3.0Class ↓3
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Has shown little sign of a return to form following a breathing operation, most recently at Sedgefield on Tuesday (detached before sixth). Hopes pinned on first-time cheekpieces sparking a revival.

Class Advantage

2/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/07 · mark par2/0712/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par15/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par29/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par7/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par29/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/09 · mark par29/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength49%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 15y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 40%2/07Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 25%15/08Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 11%7/09Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%29/09
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength46%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.5%Ahead 3/4
6
5
OR 78
16/1
Blazing Court silks

Mrs S F Dixon

Blazing Court

8yo Gelding · 10-8

Court Cave - Bright Blaze (Shernazar)

Mr John Dixon0/10−7lbJ E Dixon60%
UUP720
3.0
Cheek pieces

Winning chaser who belatedly proved he retains some ability on the back of a 2-day turnaround when beaten just a neck in 21f handicap at Cartmel in July. Well beaten back there the following month, however.

Class Advantage

22/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/06 · mark par22/0616/10 · C5 · finish vs mark below16/10 · mark par16/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below16/12 · mark par18/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par20/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par29/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 15y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 50%22/06Pos 15 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%16/12Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 2 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 88%20/07Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 10%29/08
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.1%Ahead 3/4