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13:06 · Wolverhampton

Rockspur CIC EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

5f 21yGoing TBCClass 52YO onlyALLWEATHER9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 68
5/2
Anna Belardo silks

Upton House Stud

Anna Belardo

2yo Gelding · 9-4

Belardo - Instinction (Brazen Beau)

Gina Mangan60%0/2Dr R Newland60%
36752
5.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

Belatedly back to something like his solid debut form when second of 6 in first-time cheekpieces here (6f) last time. Sure to be in the mix if reproducing that back at 5f.

Class Advantage

14/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/0430/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below2/09 · mark par7/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength70%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 21y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%14/04Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 44%30/04Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 0%21/05Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 20%2/09Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 80%7/09
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -13.6%Ahead 1/4
1
3
7/1
Lowcountry silks

Every Girl's Dream

Lowcountry

2yo Gelding · 9-7

Mayson - Moonshiner (Mehmas)

Alec Voikhansky0/2T Ward
03
5.0

Left debut form well behind when third in 10-runner novice at this course (6f) 17 days ago, encouragingly going on the bridle longer than any bar the winner. Has to be of interest with the drop to 5f a potentially good move.

Class Advantage

21/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a21/0815/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a15/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 21y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 18%21/08Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 78%15/09
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +48.0%Ahead 2/2
4
Value2
8/1
Falah Glory silks

Abdulrahman Al-ajmi

Falah Glory

2yo Gelding · 9-4

Acclamation - Inca Trail (Royal Academy)

David Probert70%Dylan Cunha60%
48
3.0Going 8.0

A cheap purchase given his pedigree and went backwards from his debut when eighth of 10 in novice (9/2) at this course (6f) 17 days ago. Probably more one for handicaps after this run.

Class Advantage

7/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a7/0915/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a15/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 21y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 40%7/09Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 8 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 22%15/09
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -14.9%Ahead 1/2
5
4
14/1
Lead To Gold silks

Alchemy 1 Partnership

Lead To Gold

2yo Colt · 9-4

Twilight Son - Lunar Corona (Dansili)

S D Bowen60%Ollie Sangster
No form3.0

Foaled April 3. 2,500 gns foal, 10,000 gns yearling, 16,000 gns 2-y-o, Twilight Son colt. Half-brother to 7f-1¼m winner Orbital and useful 2-y-o 7f winner Moon Target. Well worth a market check debuting in an ordinary maiden.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish4th of 963% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength26%
9
7
7/2
Classic Bellini silks

Lovely Bubbly Racing

Classic Bellini

2yo Filly · 8-13

Belardo - Traditionelle (Indesatchel)

Sean Kirrane60%T D Easterby
73
5.0

Shaped better than first time up when third of 6 in 5½f novice at Wetherby (firm) in June and must enter calculations back from a break, especially with her yard amongst the winners.

Class Advantage

16/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/054/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a4/06projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength16%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 21y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 45%16/05Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 60%4/06
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.8%Ahead 2/2
7
8
OR 59
6/1
Sable Island silks

Strawberry Fields Stud

Sable Island

2yo Filly · 9-2

Rajasinghe - Annie Salts (Zebedee)

Harry Davies60%0/1C A Dwyer
765577
2.0Class ↓3

Winless in 8 starts and followed a below-par effort with an even-worse one in 6f nursery at Southwell 15 days ago. Plenty to prove.

Class Advantage

12/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/068/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par22/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below22/07 · mark par17/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par7/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par17/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength39%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 21y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 25%12/06Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 33%22/07Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 40%7/09Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 45%17/09
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength44%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.8%Ahead 1/4
6
5
10/1
Decem Carolinae silks

Decem Racing Duae

Decem Carolinae

2yo Filly · 9-2

Showcasing - Carolinae (Makfi)

Finley Marsh70%Jack Jones
69
2.0

Fared best of the newcomers when staying on for sixth in 13-runner maiden at Yarmouth (6f, good to firm) in June. However, went backwards from that opening effort at Windsor 11 weeks later. Bounce back required.

Class Advantage

26/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a26/067/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a7/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 21y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 58%26/06Pos 9 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 9 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 38%7/09
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.7%Ahead 1/2
8
6
7/1
Sacred Rhythm silks

Trevor And Ruth Milner

Sacred Rhythm

2yo Filly · 9-2

Mehmas - Sacred Rhyme (Lope De Vega)

L Morris70%0/1J Parr
45
3.0

Went backwards from debut when fifth of 7 in 5f maiden at Bath (good to soft) 19 days ago.

Class Advantage

20/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a20/0813/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a13/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 21y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 57%20/08Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 33%13/09
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.8%Ahead 1/2
3
9
33/1
Cosmocrat silks

John Hughes, Andrew Baker & Paul Dixon

Cosmocrat

2yo Colt · 9-4

Caturra - Celestial Night (Dutch Art)

K T O'Neill60%0/1S Dixon
6
2.0Going 8.0

Proved very green but hinted at ability when sixth of 10 in novice at this course (6f) on debut 17 days ago, missing break. Looks one for handicaps later on.

Class Advantage

15/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a15/09
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 21y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 44%15/09
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 4-9 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength22%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +44.4%Ahead 1/1