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13:13 · Hexham

Martin Bowler Memorial Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle

2m 4f 28yGoing TBCClass 53YO plusTURFHandicap7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 88
11/4
Drumlee Myth silks

Mr Sean McParlan

Drumlee Myth

7yo Gelding · 11-12

Watar - Kentford Myth (Midnight Legend)

Mr N McParlan1/10S McParlan
865916
4.0Going 8.0

Left previous hurdle efforts behind when winning on reappearance at Cartmel (2¾m) in July. Not in quite same form at Perth last time but must enter calculations.

Class Advantage

11/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/0223/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below21/07 · mark par20/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 28y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 36%11/02Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 60%15/05Pos 9 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 9 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%20/07Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 50%15/08
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength91%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.4%Ahead 2/4
6
Market Fav2
OR 74
11/8
Dante's Inferno silks

Hedgehoppers

Dante's Inferno

7yo Gelding · 10-12

Sixties Icon - Bull And Bush (Presenting)

David Noonan0/2T Culhane & S Barclay60%
344762
5.0
Cheek pieces

Posted career best in first-time cheekpieces (retained) when very good second of 11 in handicap hurdle over shorter trip at Market Rasen 6 days ago. Can race off an unchanged mark and holds obvious claims.

Class Advantage

24/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par24/075/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/10 · mark par16/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par4/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par26/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/09 · mark par26/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 28y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 82%24/07Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%5/10Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%4/09Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 90%26/09
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength98%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.6%Ahead 1/4
7
3
OR 73
8/1
Time Was silks

Mrs J Porter

Time Was

9yo Mare · 10-11

Court Cave - Henrietta (Hushang)

Oscar Palmer60%0/1−7lbP A Kirby60%
4P858P
3.0
Cheek pieces1st Tongue Strap +2

Long-standing maiden under Rules who hasn't got going at all this season, dropping away quickly at Sedgefield last month. Best watched.

Class Advantage

12/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/01 · mark par12/012/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/02 · mark par24/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/02 · mark par19/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par5/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par20/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/07 · mark par20/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength9%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 28y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 75%12/01Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 78%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 40%24/02Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 43%5/07Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 13%20/07
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.4%Ahead 1/4
2
6
OR 84
7/1
Order Another One silks

Mr G H Bell

Order Another One

5yo Mare · 11-8

Order Of St George - Gift From Milan (Milan)

Ryan Mania60%0/2Mrs Dianne Sayer
441754
4.0

Off the mark in Irish points at seventh attempt but yet to make an impact in a trio of hurdles for current yard. May do better now sent handicapping, though.

Class Advantage

28/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a28/0618/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/0720/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength45%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 28y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 25%28/06Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 20%18/07Pos 4 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 57%20/07
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +34.0%Ahead 3/3
3
4
OR 78
10/1
Knockeranna Rose silks

Ladies That Race

Knockeranna Rose

6yo Gelding · 11-2

Cloudings - Toarmandowithlove (Choisir)

Conor Rabbitt0/10S Corbett
483240
4.0

Remains a maiden but got back on track with placed efforts both starts in April. Ran poorly when last seen here in the summer but figures off a handy mark if returning in better form.

Class Advantage

16/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below16/02 · mark par16/0219/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/03 · mark par4/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/04 · mark par24/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/04 · mark par13/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/05 · mark par21/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par21/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 28y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 63%16/02Pos 8 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 8 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 71%4/04Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 57%13/05Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%21/06
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength6%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -14.2%Ahead 1/4
4
5
OR 80
14/1
Bouboule silks

Mrs M B Thwaites

Bouboule

4yo Gelding · 11-2

Without Parole - Rachel Zane (Sea The Moon)

Leah Noreci60%0/1−7lbG Boanas60%
355P76
2.0
Cheek pieces1st Tongue Strap +2

Remains a maiden under both codes and finished well held in last start over hurdles here in June. Makes limited appeal.

Class Advantage

12/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/03 · mark par12/0311/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below11/05 · mark par7/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par18/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below18/06 · mark par21/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par3/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 28y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 14%12/03Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 45%7/06Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 9%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 44%21/06Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%3/09
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength35%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.2%Ahead 3/4
5
7
OR 78
16/1
Manhatane silks

Mr M Scott

Manhatane

4yo Filly · 11-0

Bathyrhon - Formula Speed (Poliglote)

B S Hughes60%James Moffatt60%
4P5667
3.0
Tongue strap

Unpromising in points and similar story in 4 starts over hurdles, including on handicap debut at Perth last month.

Class Advantage

26/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/0618/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/0729/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/0824/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/09 · mark par24/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength40%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 28y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%26/06Pos 6 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 0%18/07Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 38%29/08Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 25%24/09
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.6%Ahead 2/4