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12:31 · Wolverhampton

bet365 Apprentice Handicap

1m 4f 51yGoing TBCClass 63YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
3
OR 53
5/1
Amalou silks

Mr & Mrs G Middlebrook

Amalou

3yo Filly · 9-8

Nathaniel - Jubilant Lady (Aptitude)

Warren Fentiman60%D & C Kubler60%
98081
5.0Class ↓4
Blinkers

Proved a different proposition in blinkers when making her second handicap start a winning one at Windsor, pulling clear with runner-up on long run-in. A sharper track may not be ideal, however, she's relatively fresh/unexposed and certainly interesting if headgear has a similar effect.

Class Advantage

24/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/0628/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par14/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength66%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 51y · 40%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%24/06Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 0%28/10Pos 11 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 23%26/11Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 13%22/08Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 100%14/09
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.8%Ahead 2/4
1
Market Fav2
OR 50
9/4
Arlecchino's Rex silks

Mr K Senior

Arlecchino's Rex

4yo Gelding · 9-11

Belardo - Queen Margherita (Montjeu)

Rose Dawes60%1/3M D I Usher
377713
5.0
Hood

Course regular. Landed his first win away from this venue when tackling 1½m for the first time at Lingfield earlier this month. Ran at least as well in defeat when 1¼-length third over C&D latest, deserving additional credit given he came widest into the straight. Expected to go close here.

Class Advantage

11/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par11/052/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par16/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par11/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par10/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par21/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 51y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 80%11/05Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 33%16/06Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 45%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%10/09Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%21/09
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.3%Ahead 1/4
4
Top Pick1
OR 54
15/2
Forever Perfect silks

Basher Watts Racing Syndicates 6

Forever Perfect

3yo Filly · 9-9

Mohaather - Domanie (Postponed)

Owen Lewis60%R Menzies60%
230095
3.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

Opened her account in a 3-y-o C&D handicap in April. Ran better than for a while when beaten 4 lengths in first-time cheekpieces here latest. Needs a bit more to reverse form with Arlecchino's Rex, even with good-value claimer added to the mix.

Class Advantage

8/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par8/055/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par30/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par20/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par9/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par21/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength52%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 51y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 83%8/05Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 11 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 11 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 9%30/07Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 9%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%9/09Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 50%21/09
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.0%Ahead 1/4
6
5
OR 51
5/1
Ten Sixty Six silks

Mr Chris Napthine

Ten Sixty Six

3yo Filly · 9-6

Ten Sovereigns - Zabeel Park (Medicean)

C J Whiteley60%D O'Meara60%
946524
5.0

Placed 3 times in maiden company last summer. Went close in classified company at Ripon (1¼m, soft) in late-August. Wasn't as strong at the finish when 3 lengths fourth on first crack at 1½m at Newcastle subsequently. May find this track less taxing.

Class Advantage

19/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par19/063/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par11/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par13/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par19/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength28%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 51y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 11%19/06Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%11/07Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 89%31/08Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 70%19/09
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength95%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.3%Ahead 2/4
2
4
OR 49
5/1
Tiger Beetle silks

Mr T Faulkner

Tiger Beetle

8yo Gelding · 9-10

Camelot - Beach Frolic (Nayef)

Zoe Lewis60%0/4−7lbT Faulkner80%
357835
3.0Class ↓3
BlinkersTongue strap

Matched best of his recent form when third at Chepstow on penultimate start. Wasn't disgraced/extended long losing run in Lingfield classified event in cheekpieces latest. Makes some appeal, with blinkers back on for first time since finishing third (in a slightly better event) here in the spring.

Class Advantage

31/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/03 · mark par31/0310/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/04 · mark par11/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par15/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par24/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par11/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par11/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength32%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 51y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 78%31/03Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 40%11/05Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 13%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 75%24/07Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 60%11/08
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.4%Ahead 2/4
10
7
OR 45
14/1
Project Kinsman silks

James and Susan Cookson

Project Kinsman

3yo Filly · 9-0

Maxfield - Project Whiskey (Tapizar)

Tom Kiely-Marshall60%0/1P A Kirby60%
385350
3.0
Cheek pieces

Hasn't kicked on since placing on first 2 handicap starts at Newcastle (1¼m) in April/May. Always behind on return to that track (1½m) last time.

Class Advantage

1/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/05 · mark par1/052/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par18/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par22/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par4/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par19/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 51y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 71%1/05Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 42%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 20%18/06Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 43%4/08Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 10%19/09
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength33%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.7%Ahead 3/4
3
8
OR 49
20/1
Prophet Squeeze silks

Mr A Evans

Prophet Squeeze

8yo Mare · 9-10

Walk In The Park - Prophets Honor (Highest Honor)

Christian Howarth60%0/4B J Murphy
7R9756
3.0Class ↓3
Hood

Quirky maiden who's been sent off at long odds on all previous starts. Ran respectably when beaten 13 lengths at Bath (1¾m) latest. Plenty on at the weights trying 1½m/this surface for the first time.

Class Advantage

8/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/0623/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par28/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par21/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength49%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 51y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 23%8/06Pos 7 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 9 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 0%24/07Pos 7 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 56%21/08Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 44%2/09
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength39%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.0%Ahead 2/4
8
6
OR 50
16/1
Skirt Around silks

James and Susan Cookson

Skirt Around

3yo Filly · 9-5

Knicks Go - Alotta Skirt (Candy Ride)

Charlie Tucker70%−7lbP A Kirby60%
438746
3.0Class ↓3

Low-mileage 3-y-o. Beat rivals for the first time in handicap company when dropped into this grade at Newcastle (1¼m) last time, finishing 7 lengths sixth of 11. No guarantee she builds on that back up in trip.

Class Advantage

24/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/0928/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below1/05 · mark par4/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below4/06 · mark par15/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par19/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength71%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 51y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 40%24/09Pos 3 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%1/05Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%15/08Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 50%19/09
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength17%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.0%Ahead 1/4
9
9
OR 48
10/1
This Rib silks

Dave Loughnane Racing Club

This Rib

3yo Gelding · 9-3

Ribchester - This Girl (Nathaniel)

Ashley Lewis60%D Loughnane60%
P05466
3.0
Tongue strap

Finished 6 lengths fourth in a Southwell maiden (7f) this time last year. Only matched that form in handicaps, not helped by his free-going ways on recent starts over 1½m/1¾m (isn't bred to stay this far).

Class Advantage

18/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/1016/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par6/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par29/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par26/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par15/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 51y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 44%18/10Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 43%6/07Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 29%26/08Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 38%15/09
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength23%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.0%Ahead 1/4
7
10
OR 51
33/1
Echo That silks

No Fun Winning Alone Club

Echo That

3yo Filly · 9-6

Ardad - Last Echo (Whipper)

Mason PaetelP Owens
007
2.0Going 8.0

Hasn't beaten a rival to date, latterly in first-time cheekpieces on qualifying run at Lingfield (1¼m, 125/1). Hard to be confident she'll make an impact now handicapping over even further.

Class Advantage

30/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/103/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/1225/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength26%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 51y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 0%30/10Pos 12 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 0%3/12Pos 7 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 0%25/08
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.0%Ahead 0/3