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13:31 · Gowran Park

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Pat Walsh Memorial Mares Hurdle

2m 80yGoing TBC4YO plusTURF7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Market Fav2
OR 125
2/1
Royal Hollow silks

Mrs Margaret O'Rourke

Royal Hollow

8yo Mare · 10-11

Beat Hollow - Winsor Royal (Windsor Knot)

Cian Quirke60%3/12A Slattery60%
121320
4.0Going 8.0

Fairly useful hurdler who took this prize last season. Arrives on back of creditable fifth on Flat at Clonmel 16 days ago and looks the one to beat again.

Class Advantage

30/05 · C13 · finish vs mark below30/05 · mark par30/0522/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below22/06 · mark par8/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below8/07 · mark par30/07 · C1 · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par21/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par16/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 80y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 86%30/05Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 29%8/07Pos 15 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 26%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 33%21/08Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 60%16/09
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.2%Ahead 2/4
1
3
OR 121
9/4
Daboya silks

Goatsbridge Syndicate

Daboya

5yo Mare · 11-1

Gleneagles - Dabulena (Siyouni)

Danny Mullins60%2/3R Donohoe60%
0411
5.0

Well held on Flat latest but successful in last 2 starts in this sphere, latest at Bellewstown in August. Likely contender.

Class Advantage

22/06 · C7 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par22/067/07 · C7 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par12/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/08 · mark par15/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par26/08 · C12 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par21/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 80y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%22/06Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%12/08Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%26/08Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 29%21/09
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.6%Ahead 3/4
5
Top Pick1
OR 115
10/1
Gino Bella silks

Mrs Rose Byrne

Gino Bella

6yo Mare · 10-7

It's Gino - Dans La Foulee (Alberto Giacometti)

Alan O'Sullivan60%2/2−5lbP T Foley70%
4P3113
8.0Going 10.0
1st Hood +1Tongue strap

Fairly useful hurdler who has won 2 of her 4 starts this season and arrives on back of creditable third of 10 in handicap hurdle at Killarney 43 days ago. This is tougher but she warrants respect.

Class Advantage

19/03 · C10 · finish vs mark below19/03 · mark par19/032/04 · C10 · finish vs mark below2/04 · mark par5/06 · C10 · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par10/07 · C10 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par3/08 · C11 · finish vs mark above3/08 · mark par20/08 · C12 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par20/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 80y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 95%19/03Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 75%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 87%5/06Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%3/08Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 78%20/08
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.4%Ahead 3/4
7
4
OR 117
12/1
Speisialta silks

Austin Fanning

Speisialta

6yo Mare · 10-7

Walk In The Park - Midnight Angel (Acatenango)

Darragh O'Keeffe60%A J Black70%
4R0120
5.0Going 7.0
Hood1st Tongue Strap +2

Quirky sort who was given too much rope when successful on hurdling debut at Sligo in August and improved in the face of better opposition when runner-up in a mares conditions race at Bellewstown next time. Not in same form on Listowel handicap bow recently but can't be ruled out.

Class Advantage

12/01 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a12/0123/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a6/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a26/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a20/09 · C12 · finish vs mark below20/09 · mark par20/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 80y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 75%12/01Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 31%23/07Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%6/08Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 80%26/08Pos 12 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 12 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 35%20/09
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength68%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.6%Ahead 2/4
3
6
OR 122
4/1
A Law Of Her Own silks

Mrs A F Mee

A Law Of Her Own

9yo Mare · 10-11

Lawman - Azlaa (Dubawi)

Donagh Meyler60%0/1E Mullins60%
691U87
3.0
Visor

Fairly useful hurdler at best but yet to fire in a trio of starts over longer trips for Emmet Mullins this season. Can't be discounted, though.

Class Advantage

22/05 · C13 · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par22/052/08 · C12 · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par27/09 · C12 · finish vs mark below27/09 · mark par15/10 · C12 · finish vs mark above15/10 · mark par8/08 · C12 · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par23/09 · C12 · finish vs mark below23/09 · mark par23/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 80y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 0%22/05Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 11%27/09Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%8/08Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 54%23/09
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.9%Ahead 2/4
6
5
OR 107
16/1
Likealightswitch silks

M A Dunne

Likealightswitch

5yo Mare · 10-7

Soldier Of Fortune - Brooklyn View (Presenting)

Harry Sexton1/7−7lbA Sexton
392210
7.0

Had been knocking on the door prior to making the most of a good opportunity in a C&D maiden in March. Below par at Fairyhouse the following month, though, and faces a stiff task here.

Class Advantage

8/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/11 · mark par8/117/12 · C10 · finish vs mark below7/12 · mark par8/01 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/01 · mark par3/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/02 · mark par7/03 · C8 · finish vs mark above7/03 · mark par6/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/04 · mark par6/04projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 80y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 87%8/11Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 65%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 94%8/01Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 93%Pos 1 · SP 2/9 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 2/9 | Actual: 100%7/03Pos 15 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 15 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 30%6/04
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength1%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.1%Ahead 2/4
2
7
OR 118
12/1
Sopelana silks

Tallys Bar Syndicate

Sopelana

4yo Filly · 11-0

Expert Eye - Cranberry (Toronado)

Kevin Healy60%1/2−7lbC Collins70%
81742P
6.0
Cheek piecesTongue strap

Three-time winner last season but ran poorly when last seen at Punchestown in April. Others more convincing.

Class Advantage

28/11 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a28/1129/12 · C1 · finish vs mark below29/12 · mark par26/01 · C11 · finish vs mark above26/01 · mark par8/02 · C1 · finish vs mark below8/02 · mark par21/02 · C12 · finish vs mark below21/02 · mark par21/03 · C12 · finish vs mark below21/03 · mark par21/03projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 80y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 64%28/11Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%26/01Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 40%21/02Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 91%21/03
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.7%Ahead 2/4