16:20 · Gowran Park

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mucklemeg Mares Flat Race (Listed)

2m 100yGoing TBCClass 14YO to 6YOTURF13 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
Top Pick1
4/1
Elegantemente silks

Robcour

4yo Filly · 11-6

No Risk At All - Si St Eloi (Limnos)

Mr A P Ryan60%H De Bromhead60%
1
10.0

No Risk At All filly who looked a useful prospect when decisive winner of 11-runner bumper at Ballinrobe (2m) on debut 39 days ago. Runner-up has since franked that form, and she appeals as the sort to go on to better things.

Class Advantage

24/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a24/08
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 100y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%24/08
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +42.1%Ahead 1/1
2
Market Fav2
3/1
Long'way silks

Mrs J M Mullins

5yo Mare · 11-7

Galiway - Lorenzia (Poliglote)

Mr P W Mullins70%1/1W P Mullins60%
1
10.0

Galiway mare who looked another above-average prospect for excellent stable when scoring with plenty in hand on her Tramore debut (2m) in August. Sure to progress and win more races.

Class Advantage

14/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a14/08
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 100y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 100%14/08
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength86%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.2%Ahead 1/1
6
3
8/1
Alicious silks

Pimlico Racing Ireland

4yo Filly · 11-6

Pastorius - Larabelle (Linda's Lad)

Miss J Townend60%W P Mullins60%
1
10.0

€25,000 3-y-o, Pastorius filly who knew her job and made a successful debut with a bit more in hand than the bare margin implies in 7-runner bumper at Wexford (2m) in August, but will need to step up on that form to play a leading role in this appreciably better race.

Class Advantage

8/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a8/08
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 100y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%8/08
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength63%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.2%Ahead 1/1
12
5
7/1
Sarahs Lawn silks

For The Love Of It Syndicate

4yo Filly · 11-6

Yeats - Sea The Six (Sea The Stars)

Mr D L Queally60%1/1D Queally60%
411
10.0
Tongue strap

Yeats filly. Dam unraced. Off mark in points at second attempt in late April and created an even better impression when landing 18-runner bumper at Galway (17f) on Rules debut in July, knuckling down well to lead close home. Open to improvement up in grade.

Class Advantage

1/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a1/08
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 100y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%1/08
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +31.6%Ahead 1/1
11
4
10/1
Lola O C silks

Philip J Reynolds

4yo Filly · 11-6

Walk In The Park - Baby Twig (Network)

Mr J L Gleeson60%1/1H De Bromhead60%
1
10.0

Walk In The Park filly who justified support when making a winning debut in quite taking fashion in 13-runner bumper at Roscommon (15f, good to soft) in early August. Presumably the choice of John Gleeson and there's better to come.

Class Advantage

4/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a4/08
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 100y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%4/08
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.6%Ahead 1/1
9
7
12/1
Hutton Star silks

John Donohue

4yo Filly · 11-6

Sottsass - Lagostovegas (Footstepsinthesand)

Mr P A King60%1/1D H Kelly
1
10.0

Sottsass filly. Dam (h144) 2m/17f hurdle winner, also 11f-2½m winner on Flat. Attracted support and overcame signs of inexperience to make a winning debut in 11-runner bumper at Down Royal (17f) in late August. That form has taken a couple of knocks since but she's well worth a shot at his level.

Class Advantage

28/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a28/08
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 100y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%28/08
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +34.2%Ahead 1/1
4
8
7/2
Thelittleballerina silks

James F Dunne

5yo Mare · 11-7

Capri - Presenting Leah (Presenting)

Mr J Dunne60%2/3Ian Donoghue
311
9.0Going 7.0

Built on a promising debut when running out a convincing winner of a 2½m Clonmel bumper in April and was every bit as impressive in defying a penalty under a cool ride at Listowel (2½m). That form makes her a leading contender providing she copes with the drop in trip.

Class Advantage

17/03 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a17/0314/04 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a14/041/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a1/06projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 100y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 83%17/03Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%14/04Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%1/06
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 6-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength56%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +37.1%Ahead 3/3
10
13
100/1
Lake Pippaway silks

Denis Wilson

4yo Filly · 11-6

Getaway - Lakemilan (Milan)

Mr F Maguire60%T O'Brien
PU67
2.0

Getaway filly who is probably better than her 2 sound defeats in bumpers might imply but is easily passed over at this level all the same.

Class Advantage

30/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a30/057/09 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a7/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 100y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 38%30/05Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 65%7/09
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +24.8%Ahead 1/2
5
6
10/1
Village Dream silks

Blackrock Racing Syndicate

6yo Mare · 11-7

Mastercraftsman - Village Queen (King's Theatre)

Miss A B O'Connor60%W P Mullins70%
51
7.0
Tongue strap

Mastercraftsman mare who proved her debut hadn't done her justice when justifying support in 12-runner bumper at Tramore (2m) 47 days ago. Was perhaps at an advantage in racing wide there but it's dangerous to assume she's shown her all.

Class Advantage

16/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a16/0716/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a16/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 100y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 71%16/07Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 100%16/08
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.9%Ahead 2/2
1
12
33/1
Bonnie Loch silks

Edward F Power

6yo Mare · 11-7

Idaho - Lucky Loch (Bach)

Mr J C BarryEdward F Power
753
4.0

Has progressed with each run, finishing third of 13 in a first-time hood at Listowel (2m) 12 days ago. Has considerably more on her plate here, however.

Class Advantage

3/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a3/083/09 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a3/0920/09 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a20/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 100y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 63%3/08Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 56%3/09Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 83%20/09
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +61.9%Ahead 3/3
3
9
14/1
Missouri Snow silks

Judith Long

5yo Mare · 11-7

Mizzou - Snow Keeper (Rocamadour)

Mr H C Swan60%1/1N Slevin
11
10.0

Followed up her debut point win 4 months earlier in battling fashion in a 19f Sligo bumper in August, staying on well. That form is only ordinary though, and the drop in trip isn't sure to suit, either.

Class Advantage

6/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a6/08
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 100y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%6/08
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +47.4%Ahead 1/1
13
10
20/1
Weaponized silks

Steven Bourke

4yo Filly · 11-6

Walk In The Park - Cordovan Brown (Flemensfirth)

Mr J L Scallan60%S Doyle
22
8.0
Hood

Walk In The Park filly who has made an encouraging start to her career, going like the best horse at the weights upped in trip when runner-up at Wexford (2½m, good to soft, 7/4) in May, making effort earlier than ideal. This is tougher but she could have more to offer.

Class Advantage

4/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a4/0527/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a27/05projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 100y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 91%4/05Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 92%27/05
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.4%Ahead 1/2
8
11
20/1
False Dawn silks

William Bates

4yo Filly · 11-6

Make Believe - Paza (Galileo)

Mr J J Berry60%0/2Brendan Walsh
33
7.0

Confirmed her debut effort (when ridden enterprisingly) was no fluke when third of 11 in bumper at Wexford (17f, good to firm) in early July, albeit well positioned. Needs a lot more at this level, though.

Class Advantage

7/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a7/063/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a3/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 100y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 78%7/06Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 80%3/07
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +44.7%Ahead 2/2