14:35 · Ascot

BetMGM Noel Murless Stakes (Listed)

1m 6f 34yGoing TBCClass 13YO onlyTURF6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Market Fav2
OR 106
8/11
Infraad silks

ARM Racing

3yo Colt · 9-3

Ghaiyyath - Ferdoos (Dansili)

Tom Marquand70%3/3W J Haggas
231311
8.0Going 9.0

Has quickly made up into a smart performer this year, doubling his tally in 1½m handicap at Glorious Goodwood and suited by the extra distance when following up in the Melrose at York (1¾m). Can take this step up in grade in his stride with more still to offer.

Class Advantage

24/10 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a24/108/04 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a29/04 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a10/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par29/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par22/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f 34y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 75%24/10Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 100%29/04Pos 3 · SP 8/13 | Expected: 97%Pos 3 · SP 8/13 | Actual: 71%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%29/07Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%22/08
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.7%Ahead 3/4
1
Top Pick1
OR 97
8/1
Galilean Quality silks

Middleham Park Racing XV

3yo Gelding · 9-3

Teofilo - Dubai Quality (Dubawi)

C Lee70%2/6K R Burke60%
316122
8.0

Has continued to progress this season, making it 3 wins for the campaign when landing a C&D handicap in July. Not ideally placed when runner-up to Infraad in the Melrose at York and again ran well when second at Haydock last time. Can make his presence felt up in grade.

Class Advantage

7/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above7/05 · mark par7/0529/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par18/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par11/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par22/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par5/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f 34y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 71%7/05Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 72%18/06Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 94%22/08Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 86%5/09
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength92%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +33.8%Ahead 3/4
2
4
OR 106
5/2
Galiyan silks

Rashid Al Saud

3yo Colt · 9-3

Galiway - Via Manzoni (Monsun)

James Doyle80%A M Balding60%
416255
4.0Class ↓1

Chester maiden winner on second start and progressed again when mid-field in the Queen's Vase over C&D at the Royal Meeting. Good second in Group 3 at Newmarket next time, before leaving behind a lesser effort when fifth of 11 in the St Leger. Not taken lightly back down in grade.

Class Advantage

16/04 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a16/048/05 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a17/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par19/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par12/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f 34y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 25%16/04Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 6 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 50%17/06Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 20%19/08Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 60%12/09
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.8%Ahead 2/4
6
3
OR 92
16/1
Gone By silks

Valmont

3yo Filly · 8-12

Gleneagles - Pigota (Invincible Spirit)

H Crouch60%2/2R M Beckett60%
22118
6.0Going 9.0

Runner-up first 2 starts before completing a simple task in a Ripon novice in June. Took another step forward with a determined success in 3-runner handicap at Salisbury (1½m), but ran poorly in listed race at Newmarket in August. Needs to get back on the up over this longer trip.

Class Advantage

25/10 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a25/108/05 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a3/06 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a30/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par1/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par1/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f 34y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 86%25/10Pos 2 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 83%8/05Pos 1 · SP 1/7 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 1/7 | Actual: 100%3/06Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 100%30/06Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%1/08
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.2%Ahead 1/4
5
5
OR 91
16/1
Level Look silks

Kingsclere Racing Club

3yo Gelding · 9-3

Passing Glance - Inclyne (Intello)

Callum Hutchinson60%2/3A M Balding60%
142611
6.0

Has been suited by stepping up in trip on his last 2 outings (both 4-runner handicaps), getting back to winning ways at Wolverhampton (1¾m) and also scoring by a wide-margin at Southwell (16.5f) 15 days ago. Faces a tougher ask in this contest.

Class Advantage

9/01 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a9/0117/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par2/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above2/08 · mark par8/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par7/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par17/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲3
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f 34y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%9/01Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 83%2/08Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%7/09Pos 1 · SP 2/5 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 2/5 | Actual: 100%17/09
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength12%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.9%Ahead 3/4
3
6
OR 98
20/1
Guildmaster silks

Godolphin

3yo Gelding · 9-3

Teofilo - Gearanai (Toccet)

W Buick70%J & T Gosden100%
13787
3.0Class ↓0
1st Tongue Strap +21st Visor +2

Lingfield novice winner on debut and useful form in defeat this year, eighth of 19 in the King George V Stakes here (1½m) at the Royal Meeting. Gelded prior to a below-par effort at this course last time, but he could bounce back now up in trip and switched to a visor.

Class Advantage

22/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a22/1216/04 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a14/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/05 · mark par18/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par5/09 · C2 · finish vs mark below5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲2
Strength18%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 6f 34y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%22/12Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 50%16/04Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 14%14/05Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 61%18/06Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 25%5/09
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength24%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.8%Ahead 2/4