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12:21 · Gowran Park

Willis Towers Watson Maiden Hurdle

2m 80yGoing TBC4YO onlyTURF13 runners
Ordered by projected finish
12
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 123
13/8
Michonne silks

Linda Kiely

Michonne

4yo Filly · 11-0

Cracksman - Best Regards (Tamayuz)

Donagh Meyler60%0/3Mrs J Harrington80%
725
3.0Class ↓8

Fairly useful stayer on the Flat. Improved with each hurdle start last season, finishing runner-up in listed juvenile at Naas (solid form) prior to facing a stiff task in Fairyhouse Grade 2. Recent return on Flat (well beaten) presumably a pipe-opener and should be capable of winning a maiden.

Class Advantage

2/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/0918/11 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a27/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a22/02 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/04 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼4
Strength87%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 80y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 44%2/09Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 67%27/12Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 50%6/04Pos 11 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 11 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 0%16/09
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +24.2%Ahead 3/4
4
2
7/2
Ivatt silks

Mrs Fitri Hay

Ivatt

4yo Gelding · 11-7

Ghaiyyath - Lady Bergamot (Mastercraftsman)

Jack Kennedy60%0/1G Elliott60%
35
4.0Class ↓6
1st Hood +1

Fairly useful middle-distance handicapper on Flat. Improved on his hurdling debut form when smooth-travelling fifth at Navan (2m), not as well suited by the long run-in as the other principals. In top hands and could muster up a stronger finishing effort, if first-time hood has the desired effect.

Class Advantage

21/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par21/0811/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par10/10 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/10 · mark par1/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par16/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼3
Strength100%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 80y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 58%21/08Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 77%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 36%10/10Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 71%16/08Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 73%19/09
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.1%Ahead 2/4
1
3
11/4
Bunker Buster silks

Byrnes Bloodstock Limited

Bunker Buster

4yo Gelding · 11-7

Kingston Hill - Keeps Sake (Old Vic)

Philip Byrnes60%C Byrnes60%
23
7.0
1st Hood +1

Half-brother to stable's useful hurdler Shoot First. Well backed when placing in solid bumpers at Navan/Punchestown last season, showing bags of ability amid keenness. May well benefit from the addition of a first-time hood, and he's a serious player if translating his bumper form to hurdles.

Class Advantage

21/03 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a21/0328/04 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a28/04projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼8
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 80y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 88%21/03Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 88%28/04
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.4%Ahead 1/2
11
5
12/1
Liath Mor silks

Enda Kerley

Liath Mor

4yo Filly · 11-0

Sumbal - Kallalucy (Kalanisi)

Kieren Buckley60%G P Cromwell80%
No form3.0

Sumbal filly. Dam pulled up sole start in points. Isn't an obvious sort on breeding but at least worth a market check given who trains her.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish4th of 1375% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength37%
5
4
100/1
Magna Gee Gee silks

Ger O'Neill

Magna Gee Gee

4yo Gelding · 11-7

Magna Grecia - Hot Wired (Rock Of Gibraltar)

Aidan Kelly60%0/1P J Flynn
R9
3.0

Low-grade Flat winner never landed a blow in a Listowel maiden (200/1) 9 days ago. Little appeal this side of handicaps.

Class Advantage

19/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/05 · mark par19/0512/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par7/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par11/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par25/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par23/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a23/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength85%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 80y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 42%19/05Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 69%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 82%7/07Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 13 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 13 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%25/07Pos 9 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 47%23/09
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.5%Ahead 2/4
10
6
14/1
Spirit Of Stars silks

Spirit Of Three Syndicate

Spirit Of Stars

4yo Gelding · 11-7

Cloth Of Stars - Malilea (Sunday Break)

Danny Gilligan60%C Collins
53
4.0

Cloth of Stars gelding. Dam unraced sister to French 2¼m hurdle winner We Will See. Placed on second of 2 point starts in April. Market should guide now sent hurdling by capable new yard.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish6th of 1358% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength26%
2
11
20/1
Charles Kickham silks

Kieran Purcell

Charles Kickham

4yo Gelding · 11-7

Frontiersman - Leaderofthedance (Norse Dancer)

Paddy Cody60%0/1−7lbK Purcell
8465
2.0
Hood

Hurdling debutant who showed ability (modest form) in 4 bumper starts this summer. Will probably have better opportunities down the line.

Class Advantage

4/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a4/0516/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a16/074/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a4/0814/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a14/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼8
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 80y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 36%4/05Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 57%16/07Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 58%4/08Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 33%14/08
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +41.0%Ahead 4/4
9
12
33/1
Robbie Diamonds silks

She's Always Right Syndicate

Robbie Diamonds

4yo Gelding · 11-7

Order Of St George - M M Magnifica (Beneficial)

J J Slevin60%P A Fahy
06
2.0

Shaped better than the beaten distance when well-held sixth on second bumper start at Killarney (17f). Entitled to need the experience now switched to hurdles following 4 months off.

Class Advantage

28/04 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a28/049/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a9/05projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼8
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 80y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 15 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 18%28/04Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 58%9/05
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength99%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +38.0%Ahead 2/2
13
7
14/1
Sapphire Jewel silks

Mrs E M Motherway

Sapphire Jewel

4yo Filly · 11-0

Walk In The Park - The Crown Jewel (Stowaway)

Darragh O'Keeffe60%C Motherway
30
4.0Class ↓7

From a good jumping family. Showed a bit at long odds when distant third in Limerick bumper in March. Still very green in the face of a stiff task in Grade 3 at Punchestown the following month. At least worth noting for each-way support on hurdling debut.

Class Advantage

31/03 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a31/0329/04 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/04projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼7
Strength35%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 80y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 80%31/03Pos 13 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 20%29/04
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +50.0%Ahead 2/2
3
9
25/1
Feel Like Ash silks

Moonlight Syndicate

Feel Like Ash

4yo Gelding · 11-7

Feel Like Dancing - Sally Rosie (Flemensfirth)

Sean Flanagan60%0/1P Nolan
30
2.0

Beaten 4 lengths when last of 3 finishers on sole start in points. Shaped as if better for the run on hurdling debut at Cork in the spring. May still need this following 4 months away.

Class Advantage

10/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a10/05
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 80y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 31%10/05
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 8-13 · 50%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength2%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.4%Ahead 1/1
7
13
100/1
Plus Or Minus silks

George Moore

Plus Or Minus

4yo Gelding · 11-7

Belardo - Micras (Medicean)

Richard Condon0/2−5lbP A Fahy
50
2.0
Tongue strap

Wasn't unduly punished to make some late gains second time up over hurdles at Navan (2m, good to soft, 300/1). Still easy enough to look elsewhere.

Class Advantage

20/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par20/067/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par23/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par27/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par19/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼3
Strength90%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 80y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 54%20/06Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 5 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 67%23/07Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 19 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 19 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 14%27/08Pos 10 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 40%19/09
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength41%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +39.9%Ahead 4/4
8
8
50/1
Quarry Road silks

M J Hanrahan

Quarry Road

4yo Gelding · 11-7

Valirann - Sovereignoftheseas (Flemensfirth)

Ms E L Herbison60%−7lbM McCabe
No form3.0

€5,000 3-y-o, Valirann gelding. Half-brother to useful chaser Charlie Uberalles and modest hurdler Atomic Angel. Dam unraced, out of unraced sister to useful hurdler/smart chaser (2½m-3¼m winner) Hell's Bay. Cheap purchase who is likely to need time/distance.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish12th of 138% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength0%
6
10
25/1
Miners Cabin silks

Mrs Eileen Coleman

Miners Cabin

4yo Gelding · 11-7

Hunting Horn - Red Vermillion (Excelebration)

Phillip Enright60%0/1Kevin Coleman
98
2.0

Hasn't shown much in either code. Back hurdling and needs this run for a mark.

Class Advantage

24/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a24/0415/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par29/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par2/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par28/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par27/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼3
Strength86%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 80y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 15 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 7%24/04Pos 12 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 39%Pos 13 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 8%29/05Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 45%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%28/07Pos 14 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 38%27/08
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 10-13 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.8%Ahead 2/4