10

Chirimiri

8yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 75

Ascot · Autumn Racing Weekend Amateur Jockeys' Handicap (Male Amateurs) · 7f

#18

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#18

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair ex-French 7f/1m winner for Xavier Blanchet. Last of 10 in minor event at Deauville (9.5f) sole run for M. Delzangles in August but no surprise to see him bounce back for new yard. Wears tongue strap.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength63%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 26/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 7f100y Ver 117 · HIGHER CLASS26/0123 @ Chantilly 12/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 6f101y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Saint-Cloud 05/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 129 · HIGHER CLASS5/0333 @ Le Mans 20/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 129 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Deauville 08/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y GS 130 · HIGHER CLASS8/0433 @ Lyon-Parilly 08/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 131 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Chantilly 31/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 150 · HIGHER CLASS31/053C5 @ Deauville 27/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 7f100y Std 1523 @ Deauville 22/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f97y Ver 145 · HIGHER CLASS22/083projClass-projected finish: 14th of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Deauville310th9th+1
2026-06-27Deauville?3rd4th−1
2026-05-31Chantilly35th4th+1
2026-05-08Lyon-Parilly36th5th+1
2026-04-08Deauville311th10th+1
2026-03-20Le Mans33rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0120/0331/0522/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 1812% of fieldRange 12-18 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength11%

Delivery trend +1.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 16th of 18.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/01/20269th15/261%47%-0.14
12/02/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
05/03/20265th9/153%73%+0.21
20/03/20263rd4/179%86%+0.07
08/04/202611th17/255%23%-0.32
08/05/20266th9/153%67%+0.14
31/05/20265th9/153%67%+0.14
27/06/20263rd11/142%67%+0.25
22/08/202610th22/10%0%0.00