4
Kimeko Glory
4yo Filly · 11-5 · OR 78
Ascot · Autumn Racing Weekend Amateur Jockeys' Handicap (Male Amateurs) · 7f
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength26%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Sandown | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Goodwood | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-21 | Salisbury | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-13 | Salisbury | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-29 | Sandown | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-02 | Newbury | 5 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1882% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength72%
Delivery trend +5.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 15/05/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 79% | +0.36 |
| 29/05/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 33% | -0.55 |
| 02/07/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 10% | -0.37 |
| 29/07/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 67% | +0.11 |
| 13/08/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |
| 21/08/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 28/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 16/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 78% | +0.07 |